**Incumbent Republican Phil Scott holds a commanding position in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial race, with traders assigning his party an 88% implied probability of victory against Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo at 11.3%.** Scott, seeking a sixth two-year term after winning the August 11 Republican primary with 98% of the vote, benefits from sustained high approval ratings as one of the nation’s most popular governors and a record of cross-aisle appeal in a state that leans Democratic at the federal level. His focus on affordability, taxes, and economic growth has repeatedly allowed him to outperform the state’s partisan baseline, including breaking Democratic legislative supermajorities in 2024. Janoo, an economist who narrowly won the Democratic primary on August 11, faces structural headwinds as a first-time statewide candidate challenging a well-established incumbent. University of New Hampshire polling from mid-July showed Scott leading Janoo, and nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican. Scott’s active summer campaign efforts, including fundraising and recruitment of down-ballot allies, have reinforced trader expectations of continuity. No major late developments have altered the fundamentals, leaving Scott’s incumbency advantage and personal popularity as the dominant drivers of current market pricing ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$53,882 Vol.
$53,882 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
88%
Democrat
12%
$53,882 Vol.
$53,882 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican
$25,795 Vol.
88%
Democrat
$28,087 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Incumbent Republican Phil Scott holds a commanding position in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial race, with traders assigning his party an 88% implied probability of victory against Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo at 11.3%.** Scott, seeking a sixth two-year term after winning the August 11 Republican primary with 98% of the vote, benefits from sustained high approval ratings as one of the nation’s most popular governors and a record of cross-aisle appeal in a state that leans Democratic at the federal level. His focus on affordability, taxes, and economic growth has repeatedly allowed him to outperform the state’s partisan baseline, including breaking Democratic legislative supermajorities in 2024.
Janoo, an economist who narrowly won the Democratic primary on August 11, faces structural headwinds as a first-time statewide candidate challenging a well-established incumbent. University of New Hampshire polling from mid-July showed Scott leading Janoo, and nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican. Scott’s active summer campaign efforts, including fundraising and recruitment of down-ballot allies, have reinforced trader expectations of continuity. No major late developments have altered the fundamentals, leaving Scott’s incumbency advantage and personal popularity as the dominant drivers of current market pricing ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
ভলিউম
$53,882শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Incumbent Republican Phil Scott holds a commanding position in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial race, with traders assigning his party an 88% implied probability of victory against Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo at 11.3%.** Scott, seeking a sixth two-year term after winning the August 11 Republican primary with 98% of the vote, benefits from sustained high approval ratings as one of the nation’s most popular governors and a record of cross-aisle appeal in a state that leans Democratic at the federal level. His focus on affordability, taxes, and economic growth has repeatedly allowed him to outperform the state’s partisan baseline, including breaking Democratic legislative supermajorities in 2024.
Janoo, an economist who narrowly won the Democratic primary on August 11, faces structural headwinds as a first-time statewide candidate challenging a well-established incumbent. University of New Hampshire polling from mid-July showed Scott leading Janoo, and nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican. Scott’s active summer campaign efforts, including fundraising and recruitment of down-ballot allies, have reinforced trader expectations of continuity. No major late developments have altered the fundamentals, leaving Scott’s incumbency advantage and personal popularity as the dominant drivers of current market pricing ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ভলিউম
$53,882শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Republican Phil Scott holds a commanding position in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial race, with traders assigning his party an 88% implied probability of victory against Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo at 11.3%.** Scott, seeking a sixth two-year term after winning the August 11 Republican primary with 98% of the vote, benefits from sustained high approval ratings as one of the nation’s most popular governors and a record of cross-aisle appeal in a state that leans Democratic at the federal level. His focus on affordability, taxes, and economic growth has repeatedly allowed him to outperform the state’s partisan baseline, including breaking Democratic legislative supermajorities in 2024. Janoo, an economist who narrowly won the Democratic primary on August 11, faces structural headwinds as a first-time statewide candidate challenging a well-established incumbent. University of New Hampshire polling from mid-July showed Scott leading Janoo, and nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican. Scott’s active summer campaign efforts, including fundraising and recruitment of down-ballot allies, have reinforced trader expectations of continuity. No major late developments have altered the fundamentals, leaving Scott’s incumbency advantage and personal popularity as the dominant drivers of current market pricing ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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