The solidly Republican character of Texas's 38th congressional district, which carries an R+21 partisan lean and supported Republican presidential candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the 93% implied probability for the Republican Party. An open seat after incumbent Wesley Hunt pursued a Senate bid led to a competitive GOP primary resolved by Jon Bonck's May 2026 runoff victory over Shelly deZevallos, backed by endorsements from President Trump and other party leaders. Democrat Melissa McDonough secured her party's nomination but faces limited resources and structural headwinds in a Houston-area district rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in comparable seats suggest limited room for reversal before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডTX-38 House Election Winner
TX-38 House Election Winner
$28,006 Vol.
$28,006 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
5%
$28,006 Vol.
$28,006 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$17,956 Vol.
93%
Democratic Party
$10,050 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Texas's 38th congressional district, which carries an R+21 partisan lean and supported Republican presidential candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the 93% implied probability for the Republican Party. An open seat after incumbent Wesley Hunt pursued a Senate bid led to a competitive GOP primary resolved by Jon Bonck's May 2026 runoff victory over Shelly deZevallos, backed by endorsements from President Trump and other party leaders. Democrat Melissa McDonough secured her party's nomination but faces limited resources and structural headwinds in a Houston-area district rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in comparable seats suggest limited room for reversal before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ভলিউম
$28,006শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Texas's 38th congressional district, which carries an R+21 partisan lean and supported Republican presidential candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the 93% implied probability for the Republican Party. An open seat after incumbent Wesley Hunt pursued a Senate bid led to a competitive GOP primary resolved by Jon Bonck's May 2026 runoff victory over Shelly deZevallos, backed by endorsements from President Trump and other party leaders. Democrat Melissa McDonough secured her party's nomination but faces limited resources and structural headwinds in a Houston-area district rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in comparable seats suggest limited room for reversal before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$28,006শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican character of Texas's 38th congressional district, which carries an R+21 partisan lean and supported Republican presidential candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles, underpins the 93% implied probability for the Republican Party. An open seat after incumbent Wesley Hunt pursued a Senate bid led to a competitive GOP primary resolved by Jon Bonck's May 2026 runoff victory over Shelly deZevallos, backed by endorsements from President Trump and other party leaders. Democrat Melissa McDonough secured her party's nomination but faces limited resources and structural headwinds in a Houston-area district rated Solid or Safe Republican by multiple forecasters. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in comparable seats suggest limited room for reversal before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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