Following 2025 mid-decade redistricting by Texas lawmakers, the 32nd Congressional District shifted from a Democratic stronghold to a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8, driving trader consensus to price the Republican Party at 77% implied probability. GOP nominee Jace Yarbrough, an attorney who led the crowded March 3 primary with 49% before securing the nomination unopposed after rival Ryan Binkley's March 17 withdrawal, benefits from early consolidation in this open race vacated by incumbent Democrat Julie Johnson. Democrat Dan Barrios won his primary decisively at 60%, but lacks polling edge in the redrawn battleground stretching North Texas suburbs; general election set for November 3 amid national midterm dynamics.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডTX-32 House Election Winner
TX-32 House Election Winner
$25,017 Vol.
$25,017 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
76%
Democratic Party
22%
$25,017 Vol.
$25,017 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$25,017 Vol.
76%
Democratic Party
$0 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Following 2025 mid-decade redistricting by Texas lawmakers, the 32nd Congressional District shifted from a Democratic stronghold to a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8, driving trader consensus to price the Republican Party at 77% implied probability. GOP nominee Jace Yarbrough, an attorney who led the crowded March 3 primary with 49% before securing the nomination unopposed after rival Ryan Binkley's March 17 withdrawal, benefits from early consolidation in this open race vacated by incumbent Democrat Julie Johnson. Democrat Dan Barrios won his primary decisively at 60%, but lacks polling edge in the redrawn battleground stretching North Texas suburbs; general election set for November 3 amid national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
ভলিউম
$25,017শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Following 2025 mid-decade redistricting by Texas lawmakers, the 32nd Congressional District shifted from a Democratic stronghold to a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8, driving trader consensus to price the Republican Party at 77% implied probability. GOP nominee Jace Yarbrough, an attorney who led the crowded March 3 primary with 49% before securing the nomination unopposed after rival Ryan Binkley's March 17 withdrawal, benefits from early consolidation in this open race vacated by incumbent Democrat Julie Johnson. Democrat Dan Barrios won his primary decisively at 60%, but lacks polling edge in the redrawn battleground stretching North Texas suburbs; general election set for November 3 amid national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$25,017শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Following 2025 mid-decade redistricting by Texas lawmakers, the 32nd Congressional District shifted from a Democratic stronghold to a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8, driving trader consensus to price the Republican Party at 77% implied probability. GOP nominee Jace Yarbrough, an attorney who led the crowded March 3 primary with 49% before securing the nomination unopposed after rival Ryan Binkley's March 17 withdrawal, benefits from early consolidation in this open race vacated by incumbent Democrat Julie Johnson. Democrat Dan Barrios won his primary decisively at 60%, but lacks polling edge in the redrawn battleground stretching North Texas suburbs; general election set for November 3 amid national midterm dynamics.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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