**TX-33 remains a strongly Democratic-leaning district (Cook PVI around D+19) with consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide races, driving the 95.9% market consensus for a Democratic win.** Redistricting after the 2020 census and subsequent GOP-led adjustments shifted boundaries but preserved the district’s urban Dallas-Tarrant core and demographic profile, including a large Hispanic population that has supported Democratic candidates at high rates. Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary runoff, defeating incumbent Julie Johnson with 54% of the vote after strong primary performance and fundraising. He faces Republican Patrick Gillespie, who advanced through his party’s runoff, in the November 3, 2026 general election. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. The slim 1.4% Republican probability reflects limited path-to-victory options absent major shifts. Late developments that could alter outcomes include a significant scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or an unforeseen national wave dramatically changing turnout patterns in this low-competition race.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডTX-33 House Election Winner
TX-33 House Election Winner
$15,284 Vol.
$15,284 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
1%
$15,284 Vol.
$15,284 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,085 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$12,199 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**TX-33 remains a strongly Democratic-leaning district (Cook PVI around D+19) with consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide races, driving the 95.9% market consensus for a Democratic win.**
Redistricting after the 2020 census and subsequent GOP-led adjustments shifted boundaries but preserved the district’s urban Dallas-Tarrant core and demographic profile, including a large Hispanic population that has supported Democratic candidates at high rates. Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary runoff, defeating incumbent Julie Johnson with 54% of the vote after strong primary performance and fundraising. He faces Republican Patrick Gillespie, who advanced through his party’s runoff, in the November 3, 2026 general election.
Forecasters across Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. The slim 1.4% Republican probability reflects limited path-to-victory options absent major shifts. Late developments that could alter outcomes include a significant scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or an unforeseen national wave dramatically changing turnout patterns in this low-competition race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ভলিউম
$15,284শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**TX-33 remains a strongly Democratic-leaning district (Cook PVI around D+19) with consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide races, driving the 95.9% market consensus for a Democratic win.**
Redistricting after the 2020 census and subsequent GOP-led adjustments shifted boundaries but preserved the district’s urban Dallas-Tarrant core and demographic profile, including a large Hispanic population that has supported Democratic candidates at high rates. Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary runoff, defeating incumbent Julie Johnson with 54% of the vote after strong primary performance and fundraising. He faces Republican Patrick Gillespie, who advanced through his party’s runoff, in the November 3, 2026 general election.
Forecasters across Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. The slim 1.4% Republican probability reflects limited path-to-victory options absent major shifts. Late developments that could alter outcomes include a significant scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or an unforeseen national wave dramatically changing turnout patterns in this low-competition race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$15,284শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...**TX-33 remains a strongly Democratic-leaning district (Cook PVI around D+19) with consistent double-digit margins in recent statewide races, driving the 95.9% market consensus for a Democratic win.** Redistricting after the 2020 census and subsequent GOP-led adjustments shifted boundaries but preserved the district’s urban Dallas-Tarrant core and demographic profile, including a large Hispanic population that has supported Democratic candidates at high rates. Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary runoff, defeating incumbent Julie Johnson with 54% of the vote after strong primary performance and fundraising. He faces Republican Patrick Gillespie, who advanced through his party’s runoff, in the November 3, 2026 general election. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. The slim 1.4% Republican probability reflects limited path-to-victory options absent major shifts. Late developments that could alter outcomes include a significant scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or an unforeseen national wave dramatically changing turnout patterns in this low-competition race.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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