Incumbent Republican Senator John Cornyn faces state Attorney General Ken Paxton in the May 26 GOP runoff primary after neither secured a majority on March 3, with recent polls like Texas Public Opinion Research (April) showing Paxton ahead 48-40 among likely voters and others tight at 44-43 for Cornyn. Democrat James Talarico, who won his primary, leads narrow hypotheticals against both in March surveys from Impact Research and PPP (44-43 and 47-45 ranges), bolstered by record Q1 fundraising of $27 million amid GOP infighting draining resources. Trader consensus favors Republicans at 56.5% implied probability, reflecting Texas' GOP dominance—no statewide Democratic win since 1994—and incumbency edge if Cornyn prevails, though the race remains competitive in this red-state stronghold.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডTexas Senate Election Winner
Texas Senate Election Winner
$177,027 Vol.
$177,027 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
56%
Democrat
43%
$177,027 Vol.
$177,027 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$94,134 Vol.
56%
Democrat
$82,893 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Senator John Cornyn faces state Attorney General Ken Paxton in the May 26 GOP runoff primary after neither secured a majority on March 3, with recent polls like Texas Public Opinion Research (April) showing Paxton ahead 48-40 among likely voters and others tight at 44-43 for Cornyn. Democrat James Talarico, who won his primary, leads narrow hypotheticals against both in March surveys from Impact Research and PPP (44-43 and 47-45 ranges), bolstered by record Q1 fundraising of $27 million amid GOP infighting draining resources. Trader consensus favors Republicans at 56.5% implied probability, reflecting Texas' GOP dominance—no statewide Democratic win since 1994—and incumbency edge if Cornyn prevails, though the race remains competitive in this red-state stronghold.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
ভলিউম
$177,027শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Senator John Cornyn faces state Attorney General Ken Paxton in the May 26 GOP runoff primary after neither secured a majority on March 3, with recent polls like Texas Public Opinion Research (April) showing Paxton ahead 48-40 among likely voters and others tight at 44-43 for Cornyn. Democrat James Talarico, who won his primary, leads narrow hypotheticals against both in March surveys from Impact Research and PPP (44-43 and 47-45 ranges), bolstered by record Q1 fundraising of $27 million amid GOP infighting draining resources. Trader consensus favors Republicans at 56.5% implied probability, reflecting Texas' GOP dominance—no statewide Democratic win since 1994—and incumbency edge if Cornyn prevails, though the race remains competitive in this red-state stronghold.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ভলিউম
$177,027শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Senator John Cornyn faces state Attorney General Ken Paxton in the May 26 GOP runoff primary after neither secured a majority on March 3, with recent polls like Texas Public Opinion Research (April) showing Paxton ahead 48-40 among likely voters and others tight at 44-43 for Cornyn. Democrat James Talarico, who won his primary, leads narrow hypotheticals against both in March surveys from Impact Research and PPP (44-43 and 47-45 ranges), bolstered by record Q1 fundraising of $27 million amid GOP infighting draining resources. Trader consensus favors Republicans at 56.5% implied probability, reflecting Texas' GOP dominance—no statewide Democratic win since 1994—and incumbency edge if Cornyn prevails, though the race remains competitive in this red-state stronghold.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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