Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's retirement opened Minnesota's Senate seat, yet trader consensus strongly favors Democrats at 89.5% implied probability, reflecting the state's partisan lean—no Republican victory since 2002—and consistent general election polling showing Democratic contenders Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan or Rep. Angie Craig leading presumptive GOP nominee Michele Tafoya by 2–7 points in recent Emerson College and Public Policy Polling surveys. Flanagan's edge in Democratic primary polls, bolstered by Smith's February endorsement and superior fundraising from Craig, bolsters this positioning amid a crowded Republican field ahead of the August 11 primaries. National midterm dynamics and Minnesota's Trump loss by 4 points in 2024 further anchor the market's assessment, though volatility persists until nominees solidify.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$22,268 Vol.
$22,268 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
90%
Republican
9%
$22,268 Vol.
$22,268 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$15,763 Vol.
90%
Republican
$6,506 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's retirement opened Minnesota's Senate seat, yet trader consensus strongly favors Democrats at 89.5% implied probability, reflecting the state's partisan lean—no Republican victory since 2002—and consistent general election polling showing Democratic contenders Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan or Rep. Angie Craig leading presumptive GOP nominee Michele Tafoya by 2–7 points in recent Emerson College and Public Policy Polling surveys. Flanagan's edge in Democratic primary polls, bolstered by Smith's February endorsement and superior fundraising from Craig, bolsters this positioning amid a crowded Republican field ahead of the August 11 primaries. National midterm dynamics and Minnesota's Trump loss by 4 points in 2024 further anchor the market's assessment, though volatility persists until nominees solidify.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
ভলিউম
$22,268শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's retirement opened Minnesota's Senate seat, yet trader consensus strongly favors Democrats at 89.5% implied probability, reflecting the state's partisan lean—no Republican victory since 2002—and consistent general election polling showing Democratic contenders Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan or Rep. Angie Craig leading presumptive GOP nominee Michele Tafoya by 2–7 points in recent Emerson College and Public Policy Polling surveys. Flanagan's edge in Democratic primary polls, bolstered by Smith's February endorsement and superior fundraising from Craig, bolsters this positioning amid a crowded Republican field ahead of the August 11 primaries. National midterm dynamics and Minnesota's Trump loss by 4 points in 2024 further anchor the market's assessment, though volatility persists until nominees solidify.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ভলিউম
$22,268শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's retirement opened Minnesota's Senate seat, yet trader consensus strongly favors Democrats at 89.5% implied probability, reflecting the state's partisan lean—no Republican victory since 2002—and consistent general election polling showing Democratic contenders Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan or Rep. Angie Craig leading presumptive GOP nominee Michele Tafoya by 2–7 points in recent Emerson College and Public Policy Polling surveys. Flanagan's edge in Democratic primary polls, bolstered by Smith's February endorsement and superior fundraising from Craig, bolsters this positioning amid a crowded Republican field ahead of the August 11 primaries. National midterm dynamics and Minnesota's Trump loss by 4 points in 2024 further anchor the market's assessment, though volatility persists until nominees solidify.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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