Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, created by Democratic incumbent Tina Smith's retirement, remains rated Likely Democratic by major forecasters due to the state's partisan lean and primary dynamics. Democratic contenders Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan lead fundraising and endorsements ahead of the August 11 primary, with general-election polls showing either nominee ahead of Republican frontrunner Michele Tafoya by 6–8 points. These factors underpin the 89.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner, reflecting trader assessment of structural advantages and limited recent shifts in the race.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড$25,251 Vol.
$25,251 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
90%
Republican
11%
$25,251 Vol.
$25,251 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$17,227 Vol.
90%
Republican
$8,024 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, created by Democratic incumbent Tina Smith's retirement, remains rated Likely Democratic by major forecasters due to the state's partisan lean and primary dynamics. Democratic contenders Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan lead fundraising and endorsements ahead of the August 11 primary, with general-election polls showing either nominee ahead of Republican frontrunner Michele Tafoya by 6–8 points. These factors underpin the 89.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner, reflecting trader assessment of structural advantages and limited recent shifts in the race.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
ভলিউম
$25,251শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, created by Democratic incumbent Tina Smith's retirement, remains rated Likely Democratic by major forecasters due to the state's partisan lean and primary dynamics. Democratic contenders Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan lead fundraising and endorsements ahead of the August 11 primary, with general-election polls showing either nominee ahead of Republican frontrunner Michele Tafoya by 6–8 points. These factors underpin the 89.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner, reflecting trader assessment of structural advantages and limited recent shifts in the race.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ভলিউম
$25,251শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat, created by Democratic incumbent Tina Smith's retirement, remains rated Likely Democratic by major forecasters due to the state's partisan lean and primary dynamics. Democratic contenders Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan lead fundraising and endorsements ahead of the August 11 primary, with general-election polls showing either nominee ahead of Republican frontrunner Michele Tafoya by 6–8 points. These factors underpin the 89.5% implied probability for a Democratic winner, reflecting trader assessment of structural advantages and limited recent shifts in the race.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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