Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds a strong position in the competitive WA-03 race against Republican state Senate Minority Leader John Braun, who advanced together from the August 4, 2026 top-two primary. The district's narrow Republican lean (Cook PVI R+2) and Trump support in 2024 are offset by Perez's 2024 reelection win and centrist record, including cross-aisle votes that have sustained her appeal in the Vancouver-centered swing area. Recent Emerson polling showed the matchup essentially tied, yet trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an implied probability favoring the Democrat, consistent with historical advantages for sitting members in low-turnout midterm cycles and the absence of major late developments shifting momentum. November 3 general election timing leaves room for further polling or campaign events to influence outcomes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWA-03 House Election Winner
WA-03 House Election Winner
$27,127 Vol.
$27,127 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
11%
$27,127 Vol.
$27,127 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$17,358 Vol.
88%
Republican Party
$9,770 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds a strong position in the competitive WA-03 race against Republican state Senate Minority Leader John Braun, who advanced together from the August 4, 2026 top-two primary. The district's narrow Republican lean (Cook PVI R+2) and Trump support in 2024 are offset by Perez's 2024 reelection win and centrist record, including cross-aisle votes that have sustained her appeal in the Vancouver-centered swing area. Recent Emerson polling showed the matchup essentially tied, yet trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an implied probability favoring the Democrat, consistent with historical advantages for sitting members in low-turnout midterm cycles and the absence of major late developments shifting momentum. November 3 general election timing leaves room for further polling or campaign events to influence outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
ভলিউম
$27,127শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds a strong position in the competitive WA-03 race against Republican state Senate Minority Leader John Braun, who advanced together from the August 4, 2026 top-two primary. The district's narrow Republican lean (Cook PVI R+2) and Trump support in 2024 are offset by Perez's 2024 reelection win and centrist record, including cross-aisle votes that have sustained her appeal in the Vancouver-centered swing area. Recent Emerson polling showed the matchup essentially tied, yet trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an implied probability favoring the Democrat, consistent with historical advantages for sitting members in low-turnout midterm cycles and the absence of major late developments shifting momentum. November 3 general election timing leaves room for further polling or campaign events to influence outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$27,127শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds a strong position in the competitive WA-03 race against Republican state Senate Minority Leader John Braun, who advanced together from the August 4, 2026 top-two primary. The district's narrow Republican lean (Cook PVI R+2) and Trump support in 2024 are offset by Perez's 2024 reelection win and centrist record, including cross-aisle votes that have sustained her appeal in the Vancouver-centered swing area. Recent Emerson polling showed the matchup essentially tied, yet trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an implied probability favoring the Democrat, consistent with historical advantages for sitting members in low-turnout midterm cycles and the absence of major late developments shifting momentum. November 3 general election timing leaves room for further polling or campaign events to influence outcomes.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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