California’s 48th congressional district shifted toward Democrats after mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50, creating a modest voter registration advantage and a D+2 partisan lean in a seat previously held by retiring Republican incumbent Darrell Issa. The June top-two primary advanced Democrat Marni von Wilpert, a San Diego city councilmember, against Republican Jim Desmond, a county supervisor endorsed by President Trump. Recent polling, including a late-August SurveyUSA survey, shows von Wilpert narrowly ahead or statistically tied with Desmond amid 13% undecided voters and district disapproval of Trump near 55%. Forecasters rate the November contest lean or likely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on the structural and registration factors favoring the Democratic nominee in this open-seat midterm race.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডCA-48 House Election Winner
CA-48 House Election Winner
$32,156 Vol.
$32,156 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
11%
$32,156 Vol.
$32,156 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,938 Vol.
89%
Republican Party
$15,218 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 48th congressional district shifted toward Democrats after mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50, creating a modest voter registration advantage and a D+2 partisan lean in a seat previously held by retiring Republican incumbent Darrell Issa. The June top-two primary advanced Democrat Marni von Wilpert, a San Diego city councilmember, against Republican Jim Desmond, a county supervisor endorsed by President Trump. Recent polling, including a late-August SurveyUSA survey, shows von Wilpert narrowly ahead or statistically tied with Desmond amid 13% undecided voters and district disapproval of Trump near 55%. Forecasters rate the November contest lean or likely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on the structural and registration factors favoring the Democratic nominee in this open-seat midterm race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$32,156শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 48th congressional district shifted toward Democrats after mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50, creating a modest voter registration advantage and a D+2 partisan lean in a seat previously held by retiring Republican incumbent Darrell Issa. The June top-two primary advanced Democrat Marni von Wilpert, a San Diego city councilmember, against Republican Jim Desmond, a county supervisor endorsed by President Trump. Recent polling, including a late-August SurveyUSA survey, shows von Wilpert narrowly ahead or statistically tied with Desmond amid 13% undecided voters and district disapproval of Trump near 55%. Forecasters rate the November contest lean or likely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on the structural and registration factors favoring the Democratic nominee in this open-seat midterm race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-48 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$32,156শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 48th congressional district shifted toward Democrats after mid-decade redistricting under Proposition 50, creating a modest voter registration advantage and a D+2 partisan lean in a seat previously held by retiring Republican incumbent Darrell Issa. The June top-two primary advanced Democrat Marni von Wilpert, a San Diego city councilmember, against Republican Jim Desmond, a county supervisor endorsed by President Trump. Recent polling, including a late-August SurveyUSA survey, shows von Wilpert narrowly ahead or statistically tied with Desmond amid 13% undecided voters and district disapproval of Trump near 55%. Forecasters rate the November contest lean or likely Democratic, aligning with trader consensus on the structural and registration factors favoring the Democratic nominee in this open-seat midterm race.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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