Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 61% implied probability to win Missouri's 5th Congressional District House race, driven by the Missouri Supreme Court's March 24, 2026, upholding of a mid-decade Republican-drawn congressional map that splits Kansas City and incorporates more conservative rural areas, shifting the district from its prior D+12 partisan lean. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver filed for re-election on February 24 amid a crowded Republican primary field including state Sen. Rick Brattin and former Boone County Clerk Taylor Burks, with the August 4 primary looming as the next key event. A March 27 trial court ruling confirmed the map's use for November 3 general election, solidifying GOP positioning despite mixed forecaster ratings like Cook's Solid Democratic.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMO-05 House Election Winner
MO-05 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
61%
Democratic Party
34%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$1,001 Vol.
61%
Democratic Party
$406 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 61% implied probability to win Missouri's 5th Congressional District House race, driven by the Missouri Supreme Court's March 24, 2026, upholding of a mid-decade Republican-drawn congressional map that splits Kansas City and incorporates more conservative rural areas, shifting the district from its prior D+12 partisan lean. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver filed for re-election on February 24 amid a crowded Republican primary field including state Sen. Rick Brattin and former Boone County Clerk Taylor Burks, with the August 4 primary looming as the next key event. A March 27 trial court ruling confirmed the map's use for November 3 general election, solidifying GOP positioning despite mixed forecaster ratings like Cook's Solid Democratic.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,406শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 61% implied probability to win Missouri's 5th Congressional District House race, driven by the Missouri Supreme Court's March 24, 2026, upholding of a mid-decade Republican-drawn congressional map that splits Kansas City and incorporates more conservative rural areas, shifting the district from its prior D+12 partisan lean. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver filed for re-election on February 24 amid a crowded Republican primary field including state Sen. Rick Brattin and former Boone County Clerk Taylor Burks, with the August 4 primary looming as the next key event. A March 27 trial court ruling confirmed the map's use for November 3 general election, solidifying GOP positioning despite mixed forecaster ratings like Cook's Solid Democratic.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$1,406শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 61% implied probability to win Missouri's 5th Congressional District House race, driven by the Missouri Supreme Court's March 24, 2026, upholding of a mid-decade Republican-drawn congressional map that splits Kansas City and incorporates more conservative rural areas, shifting the district from its prior D+12 partisan lean. Incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver filed for re-election on February 24 amid a crowded Republican primary field including state Sen. Rick Brattin and former Boone County Clerk Taylor Burks, with the August 4 primary looming as the next key event. A March 27 trial court ruling confirmed the map's use for November 3 general election, solidifying GOP positioning despite mixed forecaster ratings like Cook's Solid Democratic.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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