The open seat in Missouri’s 6th Congressional District, following longtime Republican incumbent Sam Graves’ March 2026 retirement announcement, remains a solidly Republican district under current boundaries. The rural northern Missouri area, including parts of the Kansas City northland, has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles, with Graves winning 70 percent or more and the 2024 presidential margin favoring Republicans by double digits. Multiple Republican primary candidates have filed ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democratic contenders remain limited in number and visibility. Nonpartisan ratings classify the general election race as Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent Republican reflects this structural advantage and limited evidence of a competitive Democratic challenge. A national political shift or unusually strong Democratic primary winner could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election, though historical voting patterns indicate substantial barriers to an upset.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMO-06 House Election Winner
$29,268 Vol.
$29,268 Vol.
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
$29,268 Vol.
$29,268 Vol.
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Missouri’s 6th Congressional District, following longtime Republican incumbent Sam Graves’ March 2026 retirement announcement, remains a solidly Republican district under current boundaries. The rural northern Missouri area, including parts of the Kansas City northland, has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles, with Graves winning 70 percent or more and the 2024 presidential margin favoring Republicans by double digits. Multiple Republican primary candidates have filed ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democratic contenders remain limited in number and visibility. Nonpartisan ratings classify the general election race as Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus at 92.5 percent Republican reflects this structural advantage and limited evidence of a competitive Democratic challenge. A national political shift or unusually strong Democratic primary winner could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election, though historical voting patterns indicate substantial barriers to an upset.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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