**Missouri's 6th Congressional District**, with its R+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index—the 36th most Republican nationally—drives trader consensus toward a 91.5% implied probability for a Republican House winner, even after longtime incumbent Sam Graves announced his retirement on March 27, 2026, creating an open seat. Historical general elections show consistent GOP margins exceeding 40 points, as in Graves' 70.7% 2024 victory, bolstering forecasters' Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Filing closed March 31 with six Republican primary contenders versus three Democrats boasting minimal fundraising, underscoring GOP strength ahead of the August 4 primaries. Late-breaking GOP nominee scandals, primary infighting spillover, or a national Democratic midterm wave could narrow odds before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMO-06 House Election Winner
MO-06 House Election Winner
$27,839 Vol.
$27,839 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
$27,839 Vol.
$27,839 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$22,284 Vol.
92%
Democratic Party
$5,555 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Missouri's 6th Congressional District**, with its R+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index—the 36th most Republican nationally—drives trader consensus toward a 91.5% implied probability for a Republican House winner, even after longtime incumbent Sam Graves announced his retirement on March 27, 2026, creating an open seat. Historical general elections show consistent GOP margins exceeding 40 points, as in Graves' 70.7% 2024 victory, bolstering forecasters' Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Filing closed March 31 with six Republican primary contenders versus three Democrats boasting minimal fundraising, underscoring GOP strength ahead of the August 4 primaries. Late-breaking GOP nominee scandals, primary infighting spillover, or a national Democratic midterm wave could narrow odds before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ভলিউম
$27,839শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Missouri's 6th Congressional District**, with its R+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index—the 36th most Republican nationally—drives trader consensus toward a 91.5% implied probability for a Republican House winner, even after longtime incumbent Sam Graves announced his retirement on March 27, 2026, creating an open seat. Historical general elections show consistent GOP margins exceeding 40 points, as in Graves' 70.7% 2024 victory, bolstering forecasters' Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Filing closed March 31 with six Republican primary contenders versus three Democrats boasting minimal fundraising, underscoring GOP strength ahead of the August 4 primaries. Late-breaking GOP nominee scandals, primary infighting spillover, or a national Democratic midterm wave could narrow odds before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$27,839শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Missouri's 6th Congressional District**, with its R+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index—the 36th most Republican nationally—drives trader consensus toward a 91.5% implied probability for a Republican House winner, even after longtime incumbent Sam Graves announced his retirement on March 27, 2026, creating an open seat. Historical general elections show consistent GOP margins exceeding 40 points, as in Graves' 70.7% 2024 victory, bolstering forecasters' Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Filing closed March 31 with six Republican primary contenders versus three Democrats boasting minimal fundraising, underscoring GOP strength ahead of the August 4 primaries. Late-breaking GOP nominee scandals, primary infighting spillover, or a national Democratic midterm wave could narrow odds before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা