Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 74 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, while Democrat Fred Wellman advanced from a competitive primary. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the suburban St. Louis district as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its R+6 partisan lean, Donald Trump's 2024 performance there, and Wagner's prior double-digit victories. Recent internal Democratic polling showed a narrow or reversed margin after candidate information was provided, yet broader consensus views the seat as a hold for the GOP amid national midterm dynamics. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts from turnout patterns or late developments, supporting trader odds favoring Republicans while assigning meaningful probability to a Democratic gain.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMO-02 House Election Winner
MO-02 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
66%
Democratic Party
33%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$4,938 Vol.
66%
Democratic Party
$4,262 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 74 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, while Democrat Fred Wellman advanced from a competitive primary. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the suburban St. Louis district as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its R+6 partisan lean, Donald Trump's 2024 performance there, and Wagner's prior double-digit victories. Recent internal Democratic polling showed a narrow or reversed margin after candidate information was provided, yet broader consensus views the seat as a hold for the GOP amid national midterm dynamics. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts from turnout patterns or late developments, supporting trader odds favoring Republicans while assigning meaningful probability to a Democratic gain.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ভলিউম
$9,201শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 74 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, while Democrat Fred Wellman advanced from a competitive primary. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the suburban St. Louis district as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its R+6 partisan lean, Donald Trump's 2024 performance there, and Wagner's prior double-digit victories. Recent internal Democratic polling showed a narrow or reversed margin after candidate information was provided, yet broader consensus views the seat as a hold for the GOP amid national midterm dynamics. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts from turnout patterns or late developments, supporting trader odds favoring Republicans while assigning meaningful probability to a Democratic gain.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$9,201শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 74 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, while Democrat Fred Wellman advanced from a competitive primary. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the suburban St. Louis district as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its R+6 partisan lean, Donald Trump's 2024 performance there, and Wagner's prior double-digit victories. Recent internal Democratic polling showed a narrow or reversed margin after candidate information was provided, yet broader consensus views the seat as a hold for the GOP amid national midterm dynamics. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts from turnout patterns or late developments, supporting trader odds favoring Republicans while assigning meaningful probability to a Democratic gain.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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