Incumbent Democratic Rep. Josh Riley benefits from NY-19’s narrow D+1 partisan voting index and Lean Democratic rating from forecasters, which underpin the 88% Democratic implied probability in the market. Riley’s 2024 victory and established fundraising and name recognition have limited Republican inroads, while the GOP primary between Peter Oberacker and Alexander Portelli has yet to produce a challenger viewed as competitive in the general election. With the November 2026 contest still months away, traders see few near-term catalysts capable of shifting the race into toss-up territory absent major polling swings or unforeseen developments.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNY-19 House Election Winner
NY-19 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
12%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,561 Vol.
88%
Republican Party
$2,316 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Josh Riley benefits from NY-19’s narrow D+1 partisan voting index and Lean Democratic rating from forecasters, which underpin the 88% Democratic implied probability in the market. Riley’s 2024 victory and established fundraising and name recognition have limited Republican inroads, while the GOP primary between Peter Oberacker and Alexander Portelli has yet to produce a challenger viewed as competitive in the general election. With the November 2026 contest still months away, traders see few near-term catalysts capable of shifting the race into toss-up territory absent major polling swings or unforeseen developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
ভলিউম
$3,876শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Josh Riley benefits from NY-19’s narrow D+1 partisan voting index and Lean Democratic rating from forecasters, which underpin the 88% Democratic implied probability in the market. Riley’s 2024 victory and established fundraising and name recognition have limited Republican inroads, while the GOP primary between Peter Oberacker and Alexander Portelli has yet to produce a challenger viewed as competitive in the general election. With the November 2026 contest still months away, traders see few near-term catalysts capable of shifting the race into toss-up territory absent major polling swings or unforeseen developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$3,876শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Josh Riley benefits from NY-19’s narrow D+1 partisan voting index and Lean Democratic rating from forecasters, which underpin the 88% Democratic implied probability in the market. Riley’s 2024 victory and established fundraising and name recognition have limited Republican inroads, while the GOP primary between Peter Oberacker and Alexander Portelli has yet to produce a challenger viewed as competitive in the general election. With the November 2026 contest still months away, traders see few near-term catalysts capable of shifting the race into toss-up territory absent major polling swings or unforeseen developments.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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