New York’s 13th congressional district, covering Upper Manhattan and the Northwest Bronx, has long favored Democratic candidates due to its urban demographics and voting history. Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary by defeating incumbent Adriano Espaillat, consolidating support within the party ahead of the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and a modest GOP primary field. Traders assign the Republican nominee roughly 3 percent odds because structural factors such as partisan registration, past margins, and the absence of competitive crossover appeal outweigh any national midterm dynamics. A late scandal, health event, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, yet such shifts remain improbable given the district’s established patterns.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNY-13 House Election Winner
NY-13 House Election Winner
$39,522 Vol.
$39,522 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
$39,522 Vol.
$39,522 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$27,078 Vol.
96%
Republican Party
$12,445 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 13th congressional district, covering Upper Manhattan and the Northwest Bronx, has long favored Democratic candidates due to its urban demographics and voting history. Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary by defeating incumbent Adriano Espaillat, consolidating support within the party ahead of the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and a modest GOP primary field. Traders assign the Republican nominee roughly 3 percent odds because structural factors such as partisan registration, past margins, and the absence of competitive crossover appeal outweigh any national midterm dynamics. A late scandal, health event, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, yet such shifts remain improbable given the district’s established patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ভলিউম
$39,522শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 13th congressional district, covering Upper Manhattan and the Northwest Bronx, has long favored Democratic candidates due to its urban demographics and voting history. Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary by defeating incumbent Adriano Espaillat, consolidating support within the party ahead of the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and a modest GOP primary field. Traders assign the Republican nominee roughly 3 percent odds because structural factors such as partisan registration, past margins, and the absence of competitive crossover appeal outweigh any national midterm dynamics. A late scandal, health event, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, yet such shifts remain improbable given the district’s established patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$39,522শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 13th congressional district, covering Upper Manhattan and the Northwest Bronx, has long favored Democratic candidates due to its urban demographics and voting history. Darializa Avila Chevalier secured the Democratic nomination in the June 23, 2026 primary by defeating incumbent Adriano Espaillat, consolidating support within the party ahead of the November general election. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and a modest GOP primary field. Traders assign the Republican nominee roughly 3 percent odds because structural factors such as partisan registration, past margins, and the absence of competitive crossover appeal outweigh any national midterm dynamics. A late scandal, health event, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, yet such shifts remain improbable given the district’s established patterns.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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