Adelita Grijalva, the Democratic incumbent who won a 2025 special election by nearly 40 points to succeed her late father, holds a strong position in Arizona's 7th district ahead of the 2026 general election. The seat's D+13 Partisan Voter Index, majority-Hispanic demographics, and consistent Democratic performance in presidential and congressional voting underpin trader consensus. Expert ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, with primaries set for July 2026. Limited Republican fundraising and name recognition for the likely nominee further reinforce the positioning. A major scandal, health issue, or national political shift altering turnout patterns in this border district could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such changes unlikely before November.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডAZ-07 House Election Winner
AZ-07 House Election Winner
$12,503 Vol.
$12,503 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$12,503 Vol.
$12,503 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,596 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$7,907 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva, the Democratic incumbent who won a 2025 special election by nearly 40 points to succeed her late father, holds a strong position in Arizona's 7th district ahead of the 2026 general election. The seat's D+13 Partisan Voter Index, majority-Hispanic demographics, and consistent Democratic performance in presidential and congressional voting underpin trader consensus. Expert ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, with primaries set for July 2026. Limited Republican fundraising and name recognition for the likely nominee further reinforce the positioning. A major scandal, health issue, or national political shift altering turnout patterns in this border district could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such changes unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ভলিউম
$12,503শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva, the Democratic incumbent who won a 2025 special election by nearly 40 points to succeed her late father, holds a strong position in Arizona's 7th district ahead of the 2026 general election. The seat's D+13 Partisan Voter Index, majority-Hispanic demographics, and consistent Democratic performance in presidential and congressional voting underpin trader consensus. Expert ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, with primaries set for July 2026. Limited Republican fundraising and name recognition for the likely nominee further reinforce the positioning. A major scandal, health issue, or national political shift altering turnout patterns in this border district could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such changes unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$12,503শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adelita Grijalva, the Democratic incumbent who won a 2025 special election by nearly 40 points to succeed her late father, holds a strong position in Arizona's 7th district ahead of the 2026 general election. The seat's D+13 Partisan Voter Index, majority-Hispanic demographics, and consistent Democratic performance in presidential and congressional voting underpin trader consensus. Expert ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, with primaries set for July 2026. Limited Republican fundraising and name recognition for the likely nominee further reinforce the positioning. A major scandal, health issue, or national political shift altering turnout patterns in this border district could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such changes unlikely before November.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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