Incumbent Adelita Grijalva’s strong position in Arizona’s 7th congressional district stems from its D+13 partisan voting index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, reinforced by her established name recognition following the July 2026 primaries. The solidly Democratic rating from Cook Political Report reflects the district’s demographics and limited Republican infrastructure, producing the 95% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Daniel Butierez Sr.’s general-election candidacy faces structural headwinds in a district that, despite a modest rightward shift in 2024, remains well outside competitive range. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, incumbent health event, or unusually strong national Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical base rates suggest such shifts rarely overcome double-digit partisan margins.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডAZ-07 House Election Winner
AZ-07 House Election Winner
$14,353 Vol.
$14,353 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$14,353 Vol.
$14,353 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,794 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$8,558 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Adelita Grijalva’s strong position in Arizona’s 7th congressional district stems from its D+13 partisan voting index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, reinforced by her established name recognition following the July 2026 primaries. The solidly Democratic rating from Cook Political Report reflects the district’s demographics and limited Republican infrastructure, producing the 95% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Daniel Butierez Sr.’s general-election candidacy faces structural headwinds in a district that, despite a modest rightward shift in 2024, remains well outside competitive range. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, incumbent health event, or unusually strong national Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical base rates suggest such shifts rarely overcome double-digit partisan margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ভলিউম
$14,353শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Adelita Grijalva’s strong position in Arizona’s 7th congressional district stems from its D+13 partisan voting index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, reinforced by her established name recognition following the July 2026 primaries. The solidly Democratic rating from Cook Political Report reflects the district’s demographics and limited Republican infrastructure, producing the 95% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Daniel Butierez Sr.’s general-election candidacy faces structural headwinds in a district that, despite a modest rightward shift in 2024, remains well outside competitive range. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, incumbent health event, or unusually strong national Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical base rates suggest such shifts rarely overcome double-digit partisan margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$14,353শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Adelita Grijalva’s strong position in Arizona’s 7th congressional district stems from its D+13 partisan voting index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, reinforced by her established name recognition following the July 2026 primaries. The solidly Democratic rating from Cook Political Report reflects the district’s demographics and limited Republican infrastructure, producing the 95% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Daniel Butierez Sr.’s general-election candidacy faces structural headwinds in a district that, despite a modest rightward shift in 2024, remains well outside competitive range. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, incumbent health event, or unusually strong national Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though historical base rates suggest such shifts rarely overcome double-digit partisan margins.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা