Trader consensus prices Democrats at 74% to win Florida's 22nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's Cook PVI of D+4, where Kamala Harris prevailed by 5.5 points in 2024, and incumbent Lois Frankel's consistent double-digit victories, including a 10-point reelection margin over Dan Franzese last cycle. Frankel's dominant Q1 2026 fundraising—$1.46 million cash on hand—bolsters her position ahead of the August 18 primaries, where she faces low-funded challengers like Victoria Doyle. Republicans' crowded primary, featuring Franzese, multiple contenders, and self-funder Herbert Wertheim's $2.5 million, risks a fragmented field and weaker general election nominee in this Solid Democratic-rated race. Recent Democratic special election flips statewide add modest momentum, though no FL-22 polls exist yet.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডFL-22 House Election Winner
FL-22 House Election Winner
Democratic Party
74%
Republican Party
24%
Democratic Party
74%
Republican Party
24%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Democrats at 74% to win Florida's 22nd Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's Cook PVI of D+4, where Kamala Harris prevailed by 5.5 points in 2024, and incumbent Lois Frankel's consistent double-digit victories, including a 10-point reelection margin over Dan Franzese last cycle. Frankel's dominant Q1 2026 fundraising—$1.46 million cash on hand—bolsters her position ahead of the August 18 primaries, where she faces low-funded challengers like Victoria Doyle. Republicans' crowded primary, featuring Franzese, multiple contenders, and self-funder Herbert Wertheim's $2.5 million, risks a fragmented field and weaker general election nominee in this Solid Democratic-rated race. Recent Democratic special election flips statewide add modest momentum, though no FL-22 polls exist yet.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা