Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner’s dominant fundraising—$1.4 million raised and nearly $1 million cash on hand as of March 31—and Solid R rating from Cook Political Report anchor trader consensus at 73% for the Republican Party in this R+5 district. His 60.6% victory over Democrat Carmela Conroy in 2024 underscores the seat’s historical resilience despite top-two primary dynamics. Fragmented Democratic field, including Conroy, Bajun Mavalwalla, David Womack, and others with minimal funds, limits unified opposition ahead of the May 8 filing deadline and August 4 primary. Absent recent polls, odds reflect district fundamentals and incumbency edge in the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWA-05 House Election Winner
WA-05 House Election Winner
$11,112 Vol.
$11,112 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
73%
Democratic Party
25%
$11,112 Vol.
$11,112 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$4,114 Vol.
73%
Democratic Party
$6,998 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner’s dominant fundraising—$1.4 million raised and nearly $1 million cash on hand as of March 31—and Solid R rating from Cook Political Report anchor trader consensus at 73% for the Republican Party in this R+5 district. His 60.6% victory over Democrat Carmela Conroy in 2024 underscores the seat’s historical resilience despite top-two primary dynamics. Fragmented Democratic field, including Conroy, Bajun Mavalwalla, David Womack, and others with minimal funds, limits unified opposition ahead of the May 8 filing deadline and August 4 primary. Absent recent polls, odds reflect district fundamentals and incumbency edge in the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ভলিউম
$11,112শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner’s dominant fundraising—$1.4 million raised and nearly $1 million cash on hand as of March 31—and Solid R rating from Cook Political Report anchor trader consensus at 73% for the Republican Party in this R+5 district. His 60.6% victory over Democrat Carmela Conroy in 2024 underscores the seat’s historical resilience despite top-two primary dynamics. Fragmented Democratic field, including Conroy, Bajun Mavalwalla, David Womack, and others with minimal funds, limits unified opposition ahead of the May 8 filing deadline and August 4 primary. Absent recent polls, odds reflect district fundamentals and incumbency edge in the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$11,112শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner’s dominant fundraising—$1.4 million raised and nearly $1 million cash on hand as of March 31—and Solid R rating from Cook Political Report anchor trader consensus at 73% for the Republican Party in this R+5 district. His 60.6% victory over Democrat Carmela Conroy in 2024 underscores the seat’s historical resilience despite top-two primary dynamics. Fragmented Democratic field, including Conroy, Bajun Mavalwalla, David Womack, and others with minimal funds, limits unified opposition ahead of the May 8 filing deadline and August 4 primary. Absent recent polls, odds reflect district fundamentals and incumbency edge in the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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