Virginia's 5th congressional district maintains a Republican lean with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+6 and a 12-point Trump margin in 2024, supporting the 74.5% Republican consensus. Incumbent John McGuire, who narrowly won the 2024 GOP primary and general election, faces a low-profile primary challenger in Melanie Lucero ahead of the August 4 contest. On the Democratic side, former representative Tom Perriello leads a primary field that also includes Suzanne Krzyzanowski and Robert Tracinski, but the general-election matchup occurs in a district where recent statewide Republican performance and structural advantages limit Democratic prospects. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as Solid or Likely Republican, with limited recent polling or campaign developments shifting the implied probability ahead of the November general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডVA-05 House Election Winner
VA-05 House Election Winner
$55,565 Vol.
$55,565 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
75%
Democratic Party
27%
$55,565 Vol.
$55,565 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$26,672 Vol.
75%
Democratic Party
$28,893 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 5th congressional district maintains a Republican lean with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+6 and a 12-point Trump margin in 2024, supporting the 74.5% Republican consensus. Incumbent John McGuire, who narrowly won the 2024 GOP primary and general election, faces a low-profile primary challenger in Melanie Lucero ahead of the August 4 contest. On the Democratic side, former representative Tom Perriello leads a primary field that also includes Suzanne Krzyzanowski and Robert Tracinski, but the general-election matchup occurs in a district where recent statewide Republican performance and structural advantages limit Democratic prospects. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as Solid or Likely Republican, with limited recent polling or campaign developments shifting the implied probability ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ভলিউম
$55,565শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 5th congressional district maintains a Republican lean with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+6 and a 12-point Trump margin in 2024, supporting the 74.5% Republican consensus. Incumbent John McGuire, who narrowly won the 2024 GOP primary and general election, faces a low-profile primary challenger in Melanie Lucero ahead of the August 4 contest. On the Democratic side, former representative Tom Perriello leads a primary field that also includes Suzanne Krzyzanowski and Robert Tracinski, but the general-election matchup occurs in a district where recent statewide Republican performance and structural advantages limit Democratic prospects. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as Solid or Likely Republican, with limited recent polling or campaign developments shifting the implied probability ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$55,565শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 5th congressional district maintains a Republican lean with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+6 and a 12-point Trump margin in 2024, supporting the 74.5% Republican consensus. Incumbent John McGuire, who narrowly won the 2024 GOP primary and general election, faces a low-profile primary challenger in Melanie Lucero ahead of the August 4 contest. On the Democratic side, former representative Tom Perriello leads a primary field that also includes Suzanne Krzyzanowski and Robert Tracinski, but the general-election matchup occurs in a district where recent statewide Republican performance and structural advantages limit Democratic prospects. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as Solid or Likely Republican, with limited recent polling or campaign developments shifting the implied probability ahead of the November general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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