Delaware's at-large House seat remains a reliably Democratic hold heading into the November 2026 general election, with traders assigning the Democratic Party a 93.5% implied probability. Incumbent Sarah McBride, who secured the seat in 2024 by a double-digit margin, benefits from the state's consistent partisan lean, strong fundraising, and institutional support ahead of the September 15 primaries. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican primary field strength and the absence of recent polling shifts or national tailwinds capable of altering the baseline. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong GOP nominee could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to structural barriers that have kept the race noncompetitive.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডDE-AL House Election Winner
DE-AL House Election Winner
$10,775 Vol.
$10,775 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$10,775 Vol.
$10,775 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,779 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$7,996 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware's at-large House seat remains a reliably Democratic hold heading into the November 2026 general election, with traders assigning the Democratic Party a 93.5% implied probability. Incumbent Sarah McBride, who secured the seat in 2024 by a double-digit margin, benefits from the state's consistent partisan lean, strong fundraising, and institutional support ahead of the September 15 primaries. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican primary field strength and the absence of recent polling shifts or national tailwinds capable of altering the baseline. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong GOP nominee could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to structural barriers that have kept the race noncompetitive.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$10,775শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware's at-large House seat remains a reliably Democratic hold heading into the November 2026 general election, with traders assigning the Democratic Party a 93.5% implied probability. Incumbent Sarah McBride, who secured the seat in 2024 by a double-digit margin, benefits from the state's consistent partisan lean, strong fundraising, and institutional support ahead of the September 15 primaries. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican primary field strength and the absence of recent polling shifts or national tailwinds capable of altering the baseline. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong GOP nominee could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to structural barriers that have kept the race noncompetitive.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$10,775শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Delaware's at-large House seat remains a reliably Democratic hold heading into the November 2026 general election, with traders assigning the Democratic Party a 93.5% implied probability. Incumbent Sarah McBride, who secured the seat in 2024 by a double-digit margin, benefits from the state's consistent partisan lean, strong fundraising, and institutional support ahead of the September 15 primaries. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican primary field strength and the absence of recent polling shifts or national tailwinds capable of altering the baseline. A major scandal, health event, or unusually strong GOP nominee could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to structural barriers that have kept the race noncompetitive.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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