Utah's 4th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following redistricting, with the party holding consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles including a 32-point presidential edge in 2024. Incumbent Burgess Owens opted not to seek re-election, but Republican Mike Kennedy secured the nomination at the state convention with strong delegate support and faces no primary opposition ahead of the June 23 vote. Democrat Jonny Larsen is the main general-election challenger alongside minor-party candidates, yet forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican due to the district's partisan composition and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 90.5% for the Republican nominee reflects these structural advantages, though an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or sharp national swing could still alter the outcome before November.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডUT-04 House Election Winner
UT-04 House Election Winner
$15,043 Vol.
$15,043 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
$15,043 Vol.
$15,043 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$5,494 Vol.
91%
Democratic Party
$9,549 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 4th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following redistricting, with the party holding consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles including a 32-point presidential edge in 2024. Incumbent Burgess Owens opted not to seek re-election, but Republican Mike Kennedy secured the nomination at the state convention with strong delegate support and faces no primary opposition ahead of the June 23 vote. Democrat Jonny Larsen is the main general-election challenger alongside minor-party candidates, yet forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican due to the district's partisan composition and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 90.5% for the Republican nominee reflects these structural advantages, though an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or sharp national swing could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ভলিউম
$15,043শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 4th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following redistricting, with the party holding consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles including a 32-point presidential edge in 2024. Incumbent Burgess Owens opted not to seek re-election, but Republican Mike Kennedy secured the nomination at the state convention with strong delegate support and faces no primary opposition ahead of the June 23 vote. Democrat Jonny Larsen is the main general-election challenger alongside minor-party candidates, yet forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican due to the district's partisan composition and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 90.5% for the Republican nominee reflects these structural advantages, though an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or sharp national swing could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$15,043শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's 4th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following redistricting, with the party holding consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles including a 32-point presidential edge in 2024. Incumbent Burgess Owens opted not to seek re-election, but Republican Mike Kennedy secured the nomination at the state convention with strong delegate support and faces no primary opposition ahead of the June 23 vote. Democrat Jonny Larsen is the main general-election challenger alongside minor-party candidates, yet forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican due to the district's partisan composition and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus at 90.5% for the Republican nominee reflects these structural advantages, though an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or sharp national swing could still alter the outcome before November.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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