Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in the 90.5% trader consensus for the Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Mike Kennedy secured the Republican nomination following primary filings and convention processes, while Democrat Jonny Larsen advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's recent voting history where GOP candidates have prevailed by double-digit margins. Redistricting adjustments and the absence of competitive Democratic fundraising or polling surges reinforce this positioning ahead of the November 3 ballot. Potential shifts could arise from a significant national Democratic wave, late candidate withdrawals, or unusually high turnout favoring the challenger, though such developments remain low-probability based on current indicators.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডUT-04 House Election Winner
UT-04 House Election Winner
$15,043 Vol.
$15,043 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
$15,043 Vol.
$15,043 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$5,494 Vol.
91%
Democratic Party
$9,549 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in the 90.5% trader consensus for the Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Mike Kennedy secured the Republican nomination following primary filings and convention processes, while Democrat Jonny Larsen advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's recent voting history where GOP candidates have prevailed by double-digit margins. Redistricting adjustments and the absence of competitive Democratic fundraising or polling surges reinforce this positioning ahead of the November 3 ballot. Potential shifts could arise from a significant national Democratic wave, late candidate withdrawals, or unusually high turnout favoring the challenger, though such developments remain low-probability based on current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ভলিউম
$15,043শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in the 90.5% trader consensus for the Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Mike Kennedy secured the Republican nomination following primary filings and convention processes, while Democrat Jonny Larsen advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's recent voting history where GOP candidates have prevailed by double-digit margins. Redistricting adjustments and the absence of competitive Democratic fundraising or polling surges reinforce this positioning ahead of the November 3 ballot. Potential shifts could arise from a significant national Democratic wave, late candidate withdrawals, or unusually high turnout favoring the challenger, though such developments remain low-probability based on current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$15,043শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in the 90.5% trader consensus for the Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Mike Kennedy secured the Republican nomination following primary filings and convention processes, while Democrat Jonny Larsen advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's recent voting history where GOP candidates have prevailed by double-digit margins. Redistricting adjustments and the absence of competitive Democratic fundraising or polling surges reinforce this positioning ahead of the November 3 ballot. Potential shifts could arise from a significant national Democratic wave, late candidate withdrawals, or unusually high turnout favoring the challenger, though such developments remain low-probability based on current indicators.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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