The Texas 4th congressional district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates including Donald Trump in 2024, underpins the current market pricing. Incumbent Pat Fallon secured the Republican nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary against limited opposition, while Democratic nominee Jason Pearce has raised minimal funds ahead of the November general. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's voting patterns and lack of competitive polling. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually large national Democratic wave could narrow the outcome, though such shifts would require substantial movement from established baselines.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডTX-04 House Election Winner
TX-04 House Election Winner
$39,977 Vol.
$39,977 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$39,977 Vol.
$39,977 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$21,766 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$18,211 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 4th congressional district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates including Donald Trump in 2024, underpins the current market pricing. Incumbent Pat Fallon secured the Republican nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary against limited opposition, while Democratic nominee Jason Pearce has raised minimal funds ahead of the November general. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's voting patterns and lack of competitive polling. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually large national Democratic wave could narrow the outcome, though such shifts would require substantial movement from established baselines.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ভলিউম
$39,977শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 4th congressional district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates including Donald Trump in 2024, underpins the current market pricing. Incumbent Pat Fallon secured the Republican nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary against limited opposition, while Democratic nominee Jason Pearce has raised minimal funds ahead of the November general. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's voting patterns and lack of competitive polling. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually large national Democratic wave could narrow the outcome, though such shifts would require substantial movement from established baselines.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$39,977শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETরেজলভার
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas 4th congressional district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates including Donald Trump in 2024, underpins the current market pricing. Incumbent Pat Fallon secured the Republican nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary against limited opposition, while Democratic nominee Jason Pearce has raised minimal funds ahead of the November general. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's voting patterns and lack of competitive polling. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually large national Democratic wave could narrow the outcome, though such shifts would require substantial movement from established baselines.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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