Incumbent Republican Bob Onder's re-election bid in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+13 partisan voting index, anchors trader consensus at 91% for a GOP hold. The district's consistent Republican dominance—Onder's 61% win in 2024 over Bethany Mann, echoing prior 65%+ margins—bolsters this positioning, reinforced by recent candidate filings closing April 10 showing a light Republican primary challenge from John Fraser against three Democratic contenders including repeat loser Mann. No polling exists yet, but the structural GOP edge in this east-central Missouri seat leaves scant room for Democratic upset barring an incumbent scandal, health issue, or national midterm wave shifting battleground dynamics before the August 4 primary.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMO-03 House Election Winner
MO-03 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
8%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$50 Vol.
91%
Democratic Party
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bob Onder's re-election bid in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+13 partisan voting index, anchors trader consensus at 91% for a GOP hold. The district's consistent Republican dominance—Onder's 61% win in 2024 over Bethany Mann, echoing prior 65%+ margins—bolsters this positioning, reinforced by recent candidate filings closing April 10 showing a light Republican primary challenge from John Fraser against three Democratic contenders including repeat loser Mann. No polling exists yet, but the structural GOP edge in this east-central Missouri seat leaves scant room for Democratic upset barring an incumbent scandal, health issue, or national midterm wave shifting battleground dynamics before the August 4 primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ভলিউম
$50শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bob Onder's re-election bid in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+13 partisan voting index, anchors trader consensus at 91% for a GOP hold. The district's consistent Republican dominance—Onder's 61% win in 2024 over Bethany Mann, echoing prior 65%+ margins—bolsters this positioning, reinforced by recent candidate filings closing April 10 showing a light Republican primary challenge from John Fraser against three Democratic contenders including repeat loser Mann. No polling exists yet, but the structural GOP edge in this east-central Missouri seat leaves scant room for Democratic upset barring an incumbent scandal, health issue, or national midterm wave shifting battleground dynamics before the August 4 primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$50শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bob Onder's re-election bid in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+13 partisan voting index, anchors trader consensus at 91% for a GOP hold. The district's consistent Republican dominance—Onder's 61% win in 2024 over Bethany Mann, echoing prior 65%+ margins—bolsters this positioning, reinforced by recent candidate filings closing April 10 showing a light Republican primary challenge from John Fraser against three Democratic contenders including repeat loser Mann. No polling exists yet, but the structural GOP edge in this east-central Missouri seat leaves scant room for Democratic upset barring an incumbent scandal, health issue, or national midterm wave shifting battleground dynamics before the August 4 primary.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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