Incumbent Republican Rep. Troy Downing's strong reelection bid in solidly Republican Montana's 2nd Congressional District, rated R+15 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives the 91.5% trader consensus for a GOP hold, bolstered by his $1.6 million fundraising haul and 2024 victory margin of 32 points. The Democratic primary field, featuring low-funded challengers Brian Miller and Sam Lux, was further weakened two days ago when state Sen. Jonathan Windy Boy withdrew amid serious sexual abuse allegations, prompting calls for his Senate resignation. With no GOP primary opposition ahead of the June 2 primaries, scenarios like a major Downing scandal, national Democratic wave, or third-party surge could challenge the outlook, though historical base rates favor incumbents in safe seats.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMT-02 House Election Winner
MT-02 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
7%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,665 Vol.
92%
Democratic Party
$2,770 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Troy Downing's strong reelection bid in solidly Republican Montana's 2nd Congressional District, rated R+15 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives the 91.5% trader consensus for a GOP hold, bolstered by his $1.6 million fundraising haul and 2024 victory margin of 32 points. The Democratic primary field, featuring low-funded challengers Brian Miller and Sam Lux, was further weakened two days ago when state Sen. Jonathan Windy Boy withdrew amid serious sexual abuse allegations, prompting calls for his Senate resignation. With no GOP primary opposition ahead of the June 2 primaries, scenarios like a major Downing scandal, national Democratic wave, or third-party surge could challenge the outlook, though historical base rates favor incumbents in safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ভলিউম
$5,435শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Troy Downing's strong reelection bid in solidly Republican Montana's 2nd Congressional District, rated R+15 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives the 91.5% trader consensus for a GOP hold, bolstered by his $1.6 million fundraising haul and 2024 victory margin of 32 points. The Democratic primary field, featuring low-funded challengers Brian Miller and Sam Lux, was further weakened two days ago when state Sen. Jonathan Windy Boy withdrew amid serious sexual abuse allegations, prompting calls for his Senate resignation. With no GOP primary opposition ahead of the June 2 primaries, scenarios like a major Downing scandal, national Democratic wave, or third-party surge could challenge the outlook, though historical base rates favor incumbents in safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$5,435শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Troy Downing's strong reelection bid in solidly Republican Montana's 2nd Congressional District, rated R+15 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives the 91.5% trader consensus for a GOP hold, bolstered by his $1.6 million fundraising haul and 2024 victory margin of 32 points. The Democratic primary field, featuring low-funded challengers Brian Miller and Sam Lux, was further weakened two days ago when state Sen. Jonathan Windy Boy withdrew amid serious sexual abuse allegations, prompting calls for his Senate resignation. With no GOP primary opposition ahead of the June 2 primaries, scenarios like a major Downing scandal, national Democratic wave, or third-party surge could challenge the outlook, though historical base rates favor incumbents in safe seats.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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