The open seat in Montana's 1st congressional district following incumbent Ryan Zinke's March 2026 retirement has shaped trader consensus around the general election matchup, with Democratic nominee Sam Forstag at 57.5% implied probability and Republican Aaron Flint at 33%. The district encompasses western Montana population centers including Missoula and Bozeman alongside more conservative rural areas, producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index near even and historical results within single digits. Flint secured the Republican nomination with former President Trump's endorsement in the June 2 primary, while Forstag prevailed on the Democratic side. The November 3, 2026, general election remains the resolution trigger, and the current pricing reflects trader assessment of candidate-specific dynamics and turnout patterns in this closely contested race.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMT-01 House Election Winner
MT-01 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
62%
Republican Party
33%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$392 Vol.
62%
Republican Party
$1,011 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Montana's 1st congressional district following incumbent Ryan Zinke's March 2026 retirement has shaped trader consensus around the general election matchup, with Democratic nominee Sam Forstag at 57.5% implied probability and Republican Aaron Flint at 33%. The district encompasses western Montana population centers including Missoula and Bozeman alongside more conservative rural areas, producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index near even and historical results within single digits. Flint secured the Republican nomination with former President Trump's endorsement in the June 2 primary, while Forstag prevailed on the Democratic side. The November 3, 2026, general election remains the resolution trigger, and the current pricing reflects trader assessment of candidate-specific dynamics and turnout patterns in this closely contested race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
ভলিউম
$1,402শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Montana's 1st congressional district following incumbent Ryan Zinke's March 2026 retirement has shaped trader consensus around the general election matchup, with Democratic nominee Sam Forstag at 57.5% implied probability and Republican Aaron Flint at 33%. The district encompasses western Montana population centers including Missoula and Bozeman alongside more conservative rural areas, producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index near even and historical results within single digits. Flint secured the Republican nomination with former President Trump's endorsement in the June 2 primary, while Forstag prevailed on the Democratic side. The November 3, 2026, general election remains the resolution trigger, and the current pricing reflects trader assessment of candidate-specific dynamics and turnout patterns in this closely contested race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$1,402শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Montana's 1st congressional district following incumbent Ryan Zinke's March 2026 retirement has shaped trader consensus around the general election matchup, with Democratic nominee Sam Forstag at 57.5% implied probability and Republican Aaron Flint at 33%. The district encompasses western Montana population centers including Missoula and Bozeman alongside more conservative rural areas, producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index near even and historical results within single digits. Flint secured the Republican nomination with former President Trump's endorsement in the June 2 primary, while Forstag prevailed on the Democratic side. The November 3, 2026, general election remains the resolution trigger, and the current pricing reflects trader assessment of candidate-specific dynamics and turnout patterns in this closely contested race.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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