Trader consensus favors Republicans at 56% to hold Montana's 1st Congressional District, reflecting the seat's R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and "Likely Republican" ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, despite incumbent Ryan Zinke's March retirement opening the race. Crowded June 2 primaries feature four GOP contenders, including Zinke-endorsed radio host Aaron Flint with $454,000 cash on hand, against Democrats led by Ryan Busse's $530,000 Q1 fundraising haul. Recent first-quarter FEC reports highlight competitive resources, but the district's Republican tilt—bolstered by liberal enclaves in Missoula and Bozeman offset by rural strength—positions the GOP primary winner as the general election frontrunner ahead of November 3.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডMT-01 House Election Winner
MT-01 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
56%
Democratic Party
44%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$733 Vol.
56%
Democratic Party
$240 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors Republicans at 56% to hold Montana's 1st Congressional District, reflecting the seat's R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and "Likely Republican" ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, despite incumbent Ryan Zinke's March retirement opening the race. Crowded June 2 primaries feature four GOP contenders, including Zinke-endorsed radio host Aaron Flint with $454,000 cash on hand, against Democrats led by Ryan Busse's $530,000 Q1 fundraising haul. Recent first-quarter FEC reports highlight competitive resources, but the district's Republican tilt—bolstered by liberal enclaves in Missoula and Bozeman offset by rural strength—positions the GOP primary winner as the general election frontrunner ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
ভলিউম
$974শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors Republicans at 56% to hold Montana's 1st Congressional District, reflecting the seat's R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and "Likely Republican" ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, despite incumbent Ryan Zinke's March retirement opening the race. Crowded June 2 primaries feature four GOP contenders, including Zinke-endorsed radio host Aaron Flint with $454,000 cash on hand, against Democrats led by Ryan Busse's $530,000 Q1 fundraising haul. Recent first-quarter FEC reports highlight competitive resources, but the district's Republican tilt—bolstered by liberal enclaves in Missoula and Bozeman offset by rural strength—positions the GOP primary winner as the general election frontrunner ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$974শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Republicans at 56% to hold Montana's 1st Congressional District, reflecting the seat's R+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index and "Likely Republican" ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, despite incumbent Ryan Zinke's March retirement opening the race. Crowded June 2 primaries feature four GOP contenders, including Zinke-endorsed radio host Aaron Flint with $454,000 cash on hand, against Democrats led by Ryan Busse's $530,000 Q1 fundraising haul. Recent first-quarter FEC reports highlight competitive resources, but the district's Republican tilt—bolstered by liberal enclaves in Missoula and Bozeman offset by rural strength—positions the GOP primary winner as the general election frontrunner ahead of November 3.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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