The NC-11 contest pits Republican incumbent Chuck Edwards against Democratic nominee Jamie Ager in a western North Carolina district that Trump carried by 9.5 points in 2024. Expert ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as Likely or Lean Republican, citing Edwards’ incumbency and the district’s overall partisan lean. Prediction market traders nonetheless assign Democrats a 66% implied probability, driven by the district’s Democratic base in Asheville, expectations of typical midterm headwinds for the president’s party, and national Democratic fundraising support for Ager. Both nominees cleared their March 3 primaries comfortably, leaving a five-month general election period focused on turnout, economic messaging, and voter mobilization in a still-competitive environment.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNC-11 House Election Winner
NC-11 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
66%
Republican Party
36%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$388 Vol.
66%
Republican Party
$503 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NC-11 contest pits Republican incumbent Chuck Edwards against Democratic nominee Jamie Ager in a western North Carolina district that Trump carried by 9.5 points in 2024. Expert ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as Likely or Lean Republican, citing Edwards’ incumbency and the district’s overall partisan lean. Prediction market traders nonetheless assign Democrats a 66% implied probability, driven by the district’s Democratic base in Asheville, expectations of typical midterm headwinds for the president’s party, and national Democratic fundraising support for Ager. Both nominees cleared their March 3 primaries comfortably, leaving a five-month general election period focused on turnout, economic messaging, and voter mobilization in a still-competitive environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
ভলিউম
$891শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NC-11 contest pits Republican incumbent Chuck Edwards against Democratic nominee Jamie Ager in a western North Carolina district that Trump carried by 9.5 points in 2024. Expert ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as Likely or Lean Republican, citing Edwards’ incumbency and the district’s overall partisan lean. Prediction market traders nonetheless assign Democrats a 66% implied probability, driven by the district’s Democratic base in Asheville, expectations of typical midterm headwinds for the president’s party, and national Democratic fundraising support for Ager. Both nominees cleared their March 3 primaries comfortably, leaving a five-month general election period focused on turnout, economic messaging, and voter mobilization in a still-competitive environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$891শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The NC-11 contest pits Republican incumbent Chuck Edwards against Democratic nominee Jamie Ager in a western North Carolina district that Trump carried by 9.5 points in 2024. Expert ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as Likely or Lean Republican, citing Edwards’ incumbency and the district’s overall partisan lean. Prediction market traders nonetheless assign Democrats a 66% implied probability, driven by the district’s Democratic base in Asheville, expectations of typical midterm headwinds for the president’s party, and national Democratic fundraising support for Ager. Both nominees cleared their March 3 primaries comfortably, leaving a five-month general election period focused on turnout, economic messaging, and voter mobilization in a still-competitive environment.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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