Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman seeks reelection in Wisconsin’s 6th Congressional District, an east-central seat with an R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index that has favored Republicans for decades. The district’s structural lean, Grothman’s 61% win in 2024, and his expected primary victory over Jonathan Peetz on August 11 underpin trader consensus for a Republican outcome. A crowded Democratic primary and independent candidate Mike Thurow, a union fire captain polling within single digits or ahead in some May 2026 surveys after information is provided, have narrowed margins in head-to-head tests but have not altered the seat’s baseline Republican advantage. With the general election on November 3 still months away and no major shifts in candidate viability or district dynamics reported since early 2026, market pricing reflects these enduring partisan and incumbency factors over the independent challenge.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWI-06 House Election Winner
WI-06 House Election Winner
$19,349 Vol.
$19,349 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
82%
Democratic Party
16%
$19,349 Vol.
$19,349 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$10,690 Vol.
82%
Democratic Party
$8,659 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman seeks reelection in Wisconsin’s 6th Congressional District, an east-central seat with an R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index that has favored Republicans for decades. The district’s structural lean, Grothman’s 61% win in 2024, and his expected primary victory over Jonathan Peetz on August 11 underpin trader consensus for a Republican outcome. A crowded Democratic primary and independent candidate Mike Thurow, a union fire captain polling within single digits or ahead in some May 2026 surveys after information is provided, have narrowed margins in head-to-head tests but have not altered the seat’s baseline Republican advantage. With the general election on November 3 still months away and no major shifts in candidate viability or district dynamics reported since early 2026, market pricing reflects these enduring partisan and incumbency factors over the independent challenge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ভলিউম
$19,349শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman seeks reelection in Wisconsin’s 6th Congressional District, an east-central seat with an R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index that has favored Republicans for decades. The district’s structural lean, Grothman’s 61% win in 2024, and his expected primary victory over Jonathan Peetz on August 11 underpin trader consensus for a Republican outcome. A crowded Democratic primary and independent candidate Mike Thurow, a union fire captain polling within single digits or ahead in some May 2026 surveys after information is provided, have narrowed margins in head-to-head tests but have not altered the seat’s baseline Republican advantage. With the general election on November 3 still months away and no major shifts in candidate viability or district dynamics reported since early 2026, market pricing reflects these enduring partisan and incumbency factors over the independent challenge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$19,349শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman seeks reelection in Wisconsin’s 6th Congressional District, an east-central seat with an R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index that has favored Republicans for decades. The district’s structural lean, Grothman’s 61% win in 2024, and his expected primary victory over Jonathan Peetz on August 11 underpin trader consensus for a Republican outcome. A crowded Democratic primary and independent candidate Mike Thurow, a union fire captain polling within single digits or ahead in some May 2026 surveys after information is provided, have narrowed margins in head-to-head tests but have not altered the seat’s baseline Republican advantage. With the general election on November 3 still months away and no major shifts in candidate viability or district dynamics reported since early 2026, market pricing reflects these enduring partisan and incumbency factors over the independent challenge.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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