Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez commands 68.5% trader consensus to retain New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District, reflecting his incumbency advantage, strong fundraising—including $9.9 million in recent federal community projects—and narrow prior victories in this battleground Trump-won by double digits. GOP nominee Greg Cunningham gained momentum from Jose Orozco's early April primary dropout and endorsement, plus President Trump's backing and support from party heavyweights, amid reports of increased Republican spending. A May 8 poll shows Vasquez leading 43%-41% with 16% undecided, underscoring the race's competitiveness before the June 2 primaries, though markets favor the Democratic hold based on historical path-to-victory dynamics.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডNM-02 House Election Winner
NM-02 House Election Winner
$17,492 Vol.
$17,492 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
67%
Republican Party
22%
$17,492 Vol.
$17,492 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,471 Vol.
67%
Republican Party
$16,022 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez commands 68.5% trader consensus to retain New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District, reflecting his incumbency advantage, strong fundraising—including $9.9 million in recent federal community projects—and narrow prior victories in this battleground Trump-won by double digits. GOP nominee Greg Cunningham gained momentum from Jose Orozco's early April primary dropout and endorsement, plus President Trump's backing and support from party heavyweights, amid reports of increased Republican spending. A May 8 poll shows Vasquez leading 43%-41% with 16% undecided, underscoring the race's competitiveness before the June 2 primaries, though markets favor the Democratic hold based on historical path-to-victory dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
ভলিউম
$17,492শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez commands 68.5% trader consensus to retain New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District, reflecting his incumbency advantage, strong fundraising—including $9.9 million in recent federal community projects—and narrow prior victories in this battleground Trump-won by double digits. GOP nominee Greg Cunningham gained momentum from Jose Orozco's early April primary dropout and endorsement, plus President Trump's backing and support from party heavyweights, amid reports of increased Republican spending. A May 8 poll shows Vasquez leading 43%-41% with 16% undecided, underscoring the race's competitiveness before the June 2 primaries, though markets favor the Democratic hold based on historical path-to-victory dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$17,492শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez commands 68.5% trader consensus to retain New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District, reflecting his incumbency advantage, strong fundraising—including $9.9 million in recent federal community projects—and narrow prior victories in this battleground Trump-won by double digits. GOP nominee Greg Cunningham gained momentum from Jose Orozco's early April primary dropout and endorsement, plus President Trump's backing and support from party heavyweights, amid reports of increased Republican spending. A May 8 poll shows Vasquez leading 43%-41% with 16% undecided, underscoring the race's competitiveness before the June 2 primaries, though markets favor the Democratic hold based on historical path-to-victory dynamics.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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