Illinois's 5th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins above 60 percent in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 69 percent victory in 2024. Mike Quigley, first elected in 2009, secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17, 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against limited opposition. Republican nominee Tom Hanson emerged from his primary but faces the structural barriers of a heavily Democratic urban and suburban electorate that includes portions of Chicago and northwest Cook County suburbs. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. The 94.5 percent Democratic implied probability reflects this entrenched partisan baseline and the absence of major developments since the primaries that would alter the trajectory ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could still narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability given historical patterns.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডIL-05 House Election Winner
IL-05 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,806 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$1,548 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 5th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins above 60 percent in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 69 percent victory in 2024. Mike Quigley, first elected in 2009, secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17, 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against limited opposition. Republican nominee Tom Hanson emerged from his primary but faces the structural barriers of a heavily Democratic urban and suburban electorate that includes portions of Chicago and northwest Cook County suburbs. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. The 94.5 percent Democratic implied probability reflects this entrenched partisan baseline and the absence of major developments since the primaries that would alter the trajectory ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could still narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability given historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ভলিউম
$9,354শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 5th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins above 60 percent in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 69 percent victory in 2024. Mike Quigley, first elected in 2009, secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17, 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against limited opposition. Republican nominee Tom Hanson emerged from his primary but faces the structural barriers of a heavily Democratic urban and suburban electorate that includes portions of Chicago and northwest Cook County suburbs. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. The 94.5 percent Democratic implied probability reflects this entrenched partisan baseline and the absence of major developments since the primaries that would alter the trajectory ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could still narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability given historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$9,354শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 5th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+19 and has delivered consistent Democratic margins above 60 percent in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 69 percent victory in 2024. Mike Quigley, first elected in 2009, secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17, 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote against limited opposition. Republican nominee Tom Hanson emerged from his primary but faces the structural barriers of a heavily Democratic urban and suburban electorate that includes portions of Chicago and northwest Cook County suburbs. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. The 94.5 percent Democratic implied probability reflects this entrenched partisan baseline and the absence of major developments since the primaries that would alter the trajectory ahead of the November 3 general election. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican performance could still narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability given historical patterns.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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