Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination in IL-02's March 17 primary, defeating a crowded field including former Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr., positioning her as the frontrunner in this open seat race against Republican Mike Noack. Trader consensus reflects the district's Solid Democratic rating per Cook Political Report, with a strong partisan voting index favoring Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles, including overwhelming Biden support in 2024. Absent general election polls, the 92.5% implied probability underscores historical incumbency-free dominance and limited Republican infrastructure. Challenges would require a major Miller scandal, depressed turnout among key Democratic voting blocs, or an extraordinary national GOP wave before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডIL-02 House Election Winner
IL-02 House Election Winner
$21,162 Vol.
$21,162 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
4%
$21,162 Vol.
$21,162 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,178 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$12,985 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination in IL-02's March 17 primary, defeating a crowded field including former Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr., positioning her as the frontrunner in this open seat race against Republican Mike Noack. Trader consensus reflects the district's Solid Democratic rating per Cook Political Report, with a strong partisan voting index favoring Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles, including overwhelming Biden support in 2024. Absent general election polls, the 92.5% implied probability underscores historical incumbency-free dominance and limited Republican infrastructure. Challenges would require a major Miller scandal, depressed turnout among key Democratic voting blocs, or an extraordinary national GOP wave before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ভলিউম
$21,162শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination in IL-02's March 17 primary, defeating a crowded field including former Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr., positioning her as the frontrunner in this open seat race against Republican Mike Noack. Trader consensus reflects the district's Solid Democratic rating per Cook Political Report, with a strong partisan voting index favoring Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles, including overwhelming Biden support in 2024. Absent general election polls, the 92.5% implied probability underscores historical incumbency-free dominance and limited Republican infrastructure. Challenges would require a major Miller scandal, depressed turnout among key Democratic voting blocs, or an extraordinary national GOP wave before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$21,162শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Cook County Commissioner Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination in IL-02's March 17 primary, defeating a crowded field including former Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr., positioning her as the frontrunner in this open seat race against Republican Mike Noack. Trader consensus reflects the district's Solid Democratic rating per Cook Political Report, with a strong partisan voting index favoring Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles, including overwhelming Biden support in 2024. Absent general election polls, the 92.5% implied probability underscores historical incumbency-free dominance and limited Republican infrastructure. Challenges would require a major Miller scandal, depressed turnout among key Democratic voting blocs, or an extraordinary national GOP wave before the November 3 general election.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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