Republican incumbent Eli Crane secured his party's nomination unopposed in the July 21, 2026, primary for Arizona's 2nd congressional district, while former Navajo Nation President Jonathan Nez advanced as the Democratic nominee. The district, which covers northeastern Arizona including Flagstaff, Prescott, and substantial portions of the Navajo Nation, carries a modest Republican lean reflected in Crane's 2024 reelection margin and Cook Political Report's Likely R rating. Nez's campaign emphasizes turnout among Native American voters, who comprise about one-fifth of the electorate and helped narrow the 2024 contest. Trader consensus assigning Republicans a 63.5% implied probability aligns with incumbency advantages and historical voting patterns in this seat, though the sizable Native American population and Nez's profile keep Democratic chances at 37%. The general election is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডAZ-02 House Election Winner
AZ-02 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
64%
Democratic Party
37%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$783 Vol.
64%
Democratic Party
$274 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Eli Crane secured his party's nomination unopposed in the July 21, 2026, primary for Arizona's 2nd congressional district, while former Navajo Nation President Jonathan Nez advanced as the Democratic nominee. The district, which covers northeastern Arizona including Flagstaff, Prescott, and substantial portions of the Navajo Nation, carries a modest Republican lean reflected in Crane's 2024 reelection margin and Cook Political Report's Likely R rating. Nez's campaign emphasizes turnout among Native American voters, who comprise about one-fifth of the electorate and helped narrow the 2024 contest. Trader consensus assigning Republicans a 63.5% implied probability aligns with incumbency advantages and historical voting patterns in this seat, though the sizable Native American population and Nez's profile keep Democratic chances at 37%. The general election is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
ভলিউম
$1,057শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Eli Crane secured his party's nomination unopposed in the July 21, 2026, primary for Arizona's 2nd congressional district, while former Navajo Nation President Jonathan Nez advanced as the Democratic nominee. The district, which covers northeastern Arizona including Flagstaff, Prescott, and substantial portions of the Navajo Nation, carries a modest Republican lean reflected in Crane's 2024 reelection margin and Cook Political Report's Likely R rating. Nez's campaign emphasizes turnout among Native American voters, who comprise about one-fifth of the electorate and helped narrow the 2024 contest. Trader consensus assigning Republicans a 63.5% implied probability aligns with incumbency advantages and historical voting patterns in this seat, though the sizable Native American population and Nez's profile keep Democratic chances at 37%. The general election is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$1,057শেষ তারিখ
Nov 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Eli Crane secured his party's nomination unopposed in the July 21, 2026, primary for Arizona's 2nd congressional district, while former Navajo Nation President Jonathan Nez advanced as the Democratic nominee. The district, which covers northeastern Arizona including Flagstaff, Prescott, and substantial portions of the Navajo Nation, carries a modest Republican lean reflected in Crane's 2024 reelection margin and Cook Political Report's Likely R rating. Nez's campaign emphasizes turnout among Native American voters, who comprise about one-fifth of the electorate and helped narrow the 2024 contest. Trader consensus assigning Republicans a 63.5% implied probability aligns with incumbency advantages and historical voting patterns in this seat, though the sizable Native American population and Nez's profile keep Democratic chances at 37%. The general election is scheduled for November 3, 2026.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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