Incumbent Rep. Randy Feenstra's departure for the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial race has left IA-04—an open seat with a Cook PVI of R+15 and strong evangelical voter base—as a Solid Republican stronghold, driving trader consensus to price the Republican Party at 89% to win the November general election. Recent consolidation in the GOP primary, where Siouxland Chamber head Chris McGowan emerged as the sole qualified candidate after high-profile withdrawals like Matt Windschitl's in February and the March 13 filing deadline, bolsters expectations of a well-funded nominee with $379,000 cash on hand. Democrats face a fragmented three-way primary among Dave Dawson, Stephanie Steiner, and Ashley WolfTornabane, hampered by modest fundraising ahead of the June 2 primaries.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডIA-04 House Election Winner
IA-04 House Election Winner
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
10%
নতুন
নতুন
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,022 Vol.
89%
Democratic Party
$1,160 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Randy Feenstra's departure for the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial race has left IA-04—an open seat with a Cook PVI of R+15 and strong evangelical voter base—as a Solid Republican stronghold, driving trader consensus to price the Republican Party at 89% to win the November general election. Recent consolidation in the GOP primary, where Siouxland Chamber head Chris McGowan emerged as the sole qualified candidate after high-profile withdrawals like Matt Windschitl's in February and the March 13 filing deadline, bolsters expectations of a well-funded nominee with $379,000 cash on hand. Democrats face a fragmented three-way primary among Dave Dawson, Stephanie Steiner, and Ashley WolfTornabane, hampered by modest fundraising ahead of the June 2 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ভলিউম
$2,182শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Randy Feenstra's departure for the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial race has left IA-04—an open seat with a Cook PVI of R+15 and strong evangelical voter base—as a Solid Republican stronghold, driving trader consensus to price the Republican Party at 89% to win the November general election. Recent consolidation in the GOP primary, where Siouxland Chamber head Chris McGowan emerged as the sole qualified candidate after high-profile withdrawals like Matt Windschitl's in February and the March 13 filing deadline, bolsters expectations of a well-funded nominee with $379,000 cash on hand. Democrats face a fragmented three-way primary among Dave Dawson, Stephanie Steiner, and Ashley WolfTornabane, hampered by modest fundraising ahead of the June 2 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ভলিউম
$2,182শেষ তারিখ
Nov 3, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Randy Feenstra's departure for the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial race has left IA-04—an open seat with a Cook PVI of R+15 and strong evangelical voter base—as a Solid Republican stronghold, driving trader consensus to price the Republican Party at 89% to win the November general election. Recent consolidation in the GOP primary, where Siouxland Chamber head Chris McGowan emerged as the sole qualified candidate after high-profile withdrawals like Matt Windschitl's in February and the March 13 filing deadline, bolsters expectations of a well-funded nominee with $379,000 cash on hand. Democrats face a fragmented three-way primary among Dave Dawson, Stephanie Steiner, and Ashley WolfTornabane, hampered by modest fundraising ahead of the June 2 primaries.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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