SpaceX's market-implied odds favor a 1.75-2.00 trillion valuation at 52%, reflecting trader consensus around the company's confidential S-1 IPO filing on April 1, 2026, initially targeting 1.75 trillion, followed by reports of an upsized goal exceeding 2 trillion just days later. This positioning stems from robust fundamentals, including 15-16 billion dollars in 2025 revenue and 8 billion in profits—driven by Starlink's subscriber growth and launch dominance—against a recent 800 billion tender offer valuation in December 2025. Secondary buckets like 1.25-1.50 trillion at 23% capture caution on public market reception amid high price-to-sales multiples, while upside to 2.00-2.25 trillion at 16.5% prices in merger synergies with xAI and Starship milestones. Traders eye a potential mid-June listing as the key resolution catalyst.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড1.75-2.00T 62%
2.00-2.25T 15%
1.50-1.75T 14.2%
1.25-1.50T 11.4%
$126,957 Vol.
$126,957 Vol.
<1.25T
4%
1.25-1.50T
22%
1.50-1.75T
14%
1.75-2.00T
52%
2.00-2.25T
15%
2.25-2.50T
5%
2.50T+
3%
1.75-2.00T 62%
2.00-2.25T 15%
1.50-1.75T 14.2%
1.25-1.50T 11.4%
$126,957 Vol.
$126,957 Vol.
<1.25T
$58,779 Vol.
4%
1.25-1.50T
$15,898 Vol.
22%
1.50-1.75T
$8,031 Vol.
14%
1.75-2.00T
$11,059 Vol.
52%
2.00-2.25T
$13,142 Vol.
15%
2.25-2.50T
$9,747 Vol.
5%
2.50T+
$10,301 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX's market-implied odds favor a 1.75-2.00 trillion valuation at 52%, reflecting trader consensus around the company's confidential S-1 IPO filing on April 1, 2026, initially targeting 1.75 trillion, followed by reports of an upsized goal exceeding 2 trillion just days later. This positioning stems from robust fundamentals, including 15-16 billion dollars in 2025 revenue and 8 billion in profits—driven by Starlink's subscriber growth and launch dominance—against a recent 800 billion tender offer valuation in December 2025. Secondary buckets like 1.25-1.50 trillion at 23% capture caution on public market reception amid high price-to-sales multiples, while upside to 2.00-2.25 trillion at 16.5% prices in merger synergies with xAI and Starship milestones. Traders eye a potential mid-June listing as the key resolution catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
ভলিউম
$126,957মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.SpaceX's market-implied odds favor a 1.75-2.00 trillion valuation at 52%, reflecting trader consensus around the company's confidential S-1 IPO filing on April 1, 2026, initially targeting 1.75 trillion, followed by reports of an upsized goal exceeding 2 trillion just days later. This positioning stems from robust fundamentals, including 15-16 billion dollars in 2025 revenue and 8 billion in profits—driven by Starlink's subscriber growth and launch dominance—against a recent 800 billion tender offer valuation in December 2025. Secondary buckets like 1.25-1.50 trillion at 23% capture caution on public market reception amid high price-to-sales multiples, while upside to 2.00-2.25 trillion at 16.5% prices in merger synergies with xAI and Starship milestones. Traders eye a potential mid-June listing as the key resolution catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$126,957মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Mar 25, 2026, 6:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX's market-implied odds favor a 1.75-2.00 trillion valuation at 52%, reflecting trader consensus around the company's confidential S-1 IPO filing on April 1, 2026, initially targeting 1.75 trillion, followed by reports of an upsized goal exceeding 2 trillion just days later. This positioning stems from robust fundamentals, including 15-16 billion dollars in 2025 revenue and 8 billion in profits—driven by Starlink's subscriber growth and launch dominance—against a recent 800 billion tender offer valuation in December 2025. Secondary buckets like 1.25-1.50 trillion at 23% capture caution on public market reception amid high price-to-sales multiples, while upside to 2.00-2.25 trillion at 16.5% prices in merger synergies with xAI and Starship milestones. Traders eye a potential mid-June listing as the key resolution catalyst.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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