Anthropic’s advanced IPO preparations, including a confidential S-1 filing and banker-led investor meetings targeting a November 2026 Nasdaq listing, drive the 94.6% market-implied odds that it will go public ahead of OpenAI. Strong revenue momentum, with annualized run rates projected above $100 billion by year-end and expectations of a roughly $2 trillion valuation, supports rapid execution. In contrast, OpenAI has publicly shifted its timeline to 2027, with CEO Sam Altman citing AI safety, alignment priorities, and governance work as reasons a 2026 debut would be ill-advised. Key upcoming catalysts include Anthropic’s potential prospectus release and roadshow start in the coming weeks. Delays from market volatility, regulatory scrutiny, or sudden OpenAI acceleration on resolved safety issues remain realistic risks to the current consensus.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic
95% সম্ভাবনা
$384,627 Vol.
$384,627 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
Anthropic
95% সম্ভাবনা
$384,627 Vol.
$384,627 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s advanced IPO preparations, including a confidential S-1 filing and banker-led investor meetings targeting a November 2026 Nasdaq listing, drive the 94.6% market-implied odds that it will go public ahead of OpenAI. Strong revenue momentum, with annualized run rates projected above $100 billion by year-end and expectations of a roughly $2 trillion valuation, supports rapid execution. In contrast, OpenAI has publicly shifted its timeline to 2027, with CEO Sam Altman citing AI safety, alignment priorities, and governance work as reasons a 2026 debut would be ill-advised. Key upcoming catalysts include Anthropic’s potential prospectus release and roadshow start in the coming weeks. Delays from market volatility, regulatory scrutiny, or sudden OpenAI acceleration on resolved safety issues remain realistic risks to the current consensus.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
ভলিউম
$384,627শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2028মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s advanced IPO preparations, including a confidential S-1 filing and banker-led investor meetings targeting a November 2026 Nasdaq listing, drive the 94.6% market-implied odds that it will go public ahead of OpenAI. Strong revenue momentum, with annualized run rates projected above $100 billion by year-end and expectations of a roughly $2 trillion valuation, supports rapid execution. In contrast, OpenAI has publicly shifted its timeline to 2027, with CEO Sam Altman citing AI safety, alignment priorities, and governance work as reasons a 2026 debut would be ill-advised. Key upcoming catalysts include Anthropic’s potential prospectus release and roadshow start in the coming weeks. Delays from market volatility, regulatory scrutiny, or sudden OpenAI acceleration on resolved safety issues remain realistic risks to the current consensus.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$384,627শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2028মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s advanced IPO preparations, including a confidential S-1 filing and banker-led investor meetings targeting a November 2026 Nasdaq listing, drive the 94.6% market-implied odds that it will go public ahead of OpenAI. Strong revenue momentum, with annualized run rates projected above $100 billion by year-end and expectations of a roughly $2 trillion valuation, supports rapid execution. In contrast, OpenAI has publicly shifted its timeline to 2027, with CEO Sam Altman citing AI safety, alignment priorities, and governance work as reasons a 2026 debut would be ill-advised. Key upcoming catalysts include Anthropic’s potential prospectus release and roadshow start in the coming weeks. Delays from market volatility, regulatory scrutiny, or sudden OpenAI acceleration on resolved safety issues remain realistic risks to the current consensus.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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