Anthropic’s active preparations for a late-2026 listing, including its June confidential S-1 filing and ongoing banker meetings targeting November after Q3 results, drive the 95.9% market-implied odds that it will IPO before OpenAI. The company’s revenue run rate has surged past $100 billion annualized amid strong Claude adoption, positioning it for a potential $2 trillion valuation. In contrast, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman stated in September that a 2026 debut would be ill-advised given AI safety and alignment priorities, shifting focus to 2027. While trader consensus reflects these timelines, realistic shifts could arise from extended SEC reviews, sudden market volatility, or unexpected safety-related pauses at either large language model developer that alter filing momentum.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Anthropic
96% সম্ভাবনা
$383,793 Vol.
$383,793 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
Anthropic
96% সম্ভাবনা
$383,793 Vol.
$383,793 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s active preparations for a late-2026 listing, including its June confidential S-1 filing and ongoing banker meetings targeting November after Q3 results, drive the 95.9% market-implied odds that it will IPO before OpenAI. The company’s revenue run rate has surged past $100 billion annualized amid strong Claude adoption, positioning it for a potential $2 trillion valuation. In contrast, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman stated in September that a 2026 debut would be ill-advised given AI safety and alignment priorities, shifting focus to 2027. While trader consensus reflects these timelines, realistic shifts could arise from extended SEC reviews, sudden market volatility, or unexpected safety-related pauses at either large language model developer that alter filing momentum.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
ভলিউম
$383,793শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2028মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s active preparations for a late-2026 listing, including its June confidential S-1 filing and ongoing banker meetings targeting November after Q3 results, drive the 95.9% market-implied odds that it will IPO before OpenAI. The company’s revenue run rate has surged past $100 billion annualized amid strong Claude adoption, positioning it for a potential $2 trillion valuation. In contrast, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman stated in September that a 2026 debut would be ill-advised given AI safety and alignment priorities, shifting focus to 2027. While trader consensus reflects these timelines, realistic shifts could arise from extended SEC reviews, sudden market volatility, or unexpected safety-related pauses at either large language model developer that alter filing momentum.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
ভলিউম
$383,793শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2028মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s active preparations for a late-2026 listing, including its June confidential S-1 filing and ongoing banker meetings targeting November after Q3 results, drive the 95.9% market-implied odds that it will IPO before OpenAI. The company’s revenue run rate has surged past $100 billion annualized amid strong Claude adoption, positioning it for a potential $2 trillion valuation. In contrast, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman stated in September that a 2026 debut would be ill-advised given AI safety and alignment priorities, shifting focus to 2027. While trader consensus reflects these timelines, realistic shifts could arise from extended SEC reviews, sudden market volatility, or unexpected safety-related pauses at either large language model developer that alter filing momentum.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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