Persistent geopolitical tensions from Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine, coupled with sustained G7 sanctions and joint statements through 2026 summits reaffirming support for Ukrainian sovereignty, drive the 97.7% implied probability against rejoining before 2027. Unanimous consent among members is required for readmission, and European leaders have tied any reversal to major concessions ending the conflict. Russian President Vladimir Putin has publicly dismissed interest in the format, highlighting BRICS economic weight instead. A negotiated Ukraine settlement addressing territorial and security issues or abrupt leadership changes among G7 nations remain the main developments that could still shift probabilities before the December 2026 deadline.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড2% সম্ভাবনা
$53,561 Vol.
$53,561 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
2% সম্ভাবনা
$53,561 Vol.
$53,561 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent geopolitical tensions from Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine, coupled with sustained G7 sanctions and joint statements through 2026 summits reaffirming support for Ukrainian sovereignty, drive the 97.7% implied probability against rejoining before 2027. Unanimous consent among members is required for readmission, and European leaders have tied any reversal to major concessions ending the conflict. Russian President Vladimir Putin has publicly dismissed interest in the format, highlighting BRICS economic weight instead. A negotiated Ukraine settlement addressing territorial and security issues or abrupt leadership changes among G7 nations remain the main developments that could still shift probabilities before the December 2026 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ET
ভলিউম
$53,561শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent geopolitical tensions from Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine, coupled with sustained G7 sanctions and joint statements through 2026 summits reaffirming support for Ukrainian sovereignty, drive the 97.7% implied probability against rejoining before 2027. Unanimous consent among members is required for readmission, and European leaders have tied any reversal to major concessions ending the conflict. Russian President Vladimir Putin has publicly dismissed interest in the format, highlighting BRICS economic weight instead. A negotiated Ukraine settlement addressing territorial and security issues or abrupt leadership changes among G7 nations remain the main developments that could still shift probabilities before the December 2026 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ভলিউম
$53,561শেষ তারিখ
Jan 1, 2027মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ETরেজলভার
0x65070BE91...Persistent geopolitical tensions from Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine, coupled with sustained G7 sanctions and joint statements through 2026 summits reaffirming support for Ukrainian sovereignty, drive the 97.7% implied probability against rejoining before 2027. Unanimous consent among members is required for readmission, and European leaders have tied any reversal to major concessions ending the conflict. Russian President Vladimir Putin has publicly dismissed interest in the format, highlighting BRICS economic weight instead. A negotiated Ukraine settlement addressing territorial and security issues or abrupt leadership changes among G7 nations remain the main developments that could still shift probabilities before the December 2026 deadline.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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