Improved notification preferences and types.

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Show BTC 15-minute up/down market in 3rd slot on homepage.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Convert your "No" positions to the complementary "Yes" positions (and potentially USDC).

Convert positions

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves.

users who convert will receive Yes shares in any outcomes added in the future

Winner-take-all

Your gains for each outcome scenario based on all your positions.

Net Positions

Buy ‘Yes’ or ‘No’ shares depending on your prediction. Odds shift in real time as other traders get in on the action.

1. Pick a Polymarket

1. Explore our Polymarkets

Fund your account with crypto, debit card, or bank transfer—then you're ready to trade.

2. Place a Trade

Sell your 'Yes' or 'No' shares at any time, or wait until the market ends to redeem winning shares for $1 each. Create an account and place your first trade in minutes.

3. Redeem

Your session needs to be reset in order to make transactions. Please log out and then back in to reset your session.

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Trade on Polymarket

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Merge a share of Yes and No to get 1 USDC. You can do this to save cost when trying to get rid of a position.

Merge shares

Order Book

Major Price Slippage

Split a USDC into a share of Yes and No. You can do this to save cost by getting both and just selling the other side.

Split shares

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Breaking News

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Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Another US Joint Chiefs of Staff member out by April 30?

Will gas hit (Low) $3.95 by April 30?

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?

Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Live from @Polymarket

Breaking World News & Predictions

Breaking News

Will 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?

Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?

Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?

Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Another US Joint Chiefs of Staff member out by April 30?

Will gas hit (Low) $3.95 by April 30?

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?

Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Live from @Polymarket