Skip to main content

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where users trade on the real-world outcomes of events across Crypto and many other topics. Prices are quoted from 0 to 100 cents and reflect the implied probability that an event will occur. Because traders put real money behind their views, Polymarket odds represent a real-time, skin-in-the-game consensus, often referred to as the "wisdom of the crowd."

A Microstrategy prediction market lets users trade Yes or No shares on a specific question tied to Microstrategy-related events, such as "MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?". Each share pays out $1 if the outcome resolves in its favor, and $0 if it does not. The current share price, for example, 95% in "MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?", reflects the market's implied probability at any given moment.

The Crypto category hosts 257 markets covering a wide range of subjects. Popular subcategories include Pre-Market, Weekly, and Bitcoin, each with its own dedicated page showing live odds, trading volume, and active markets. You can browse the full list of Crypto subcategories from the left-side navigation on the Crypto page.

Every Crypto market on Polymarket has outcomes priced between 0¢ and 100¢. That price is the implied probability of the outcome occurring. For example, if "MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?" is trading at 95%, traders are collectively pricing in roughly that probability. Prices update continuously as new information, data releases, and events move trader sentiment.

Activity is constantly shifting, but you can sort the page by 24-hour volume to see where trading is concentrated. Currently, "Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?" is among the most actively traded markets on the Microstrategy page, alongside other high-volume markets like "MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?" and "Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 21-27?".