Alabama's 2nd congressional district underwent redistricting in May 2026 following a Supreme Court ruling, producing a significantly more Republican-leaning map that excludes much of the incumbent Democrat's prior base in Mobile and shifts the partisan voting index toward the GOP. Incumbent Shomari Figures (D) faces no primary opposition and has raised substantial funds, while six Republicans compete in the August 11 primary, with Rhett Marques leading recent polling. Cook Political Report rates the seat Likely Republican, reflecting the altered district lines and the broader national environment heading into the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 70% for Republicans and 29.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural changes, though the outcome remains sensitive to primary results, turnout patterns, and any late-cycle developments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAL-02 Wahlsieger
AL-02 Wahlsieger
$38,007 Vol.
$38,007 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
70%
Demokratische Partei
29%
$38,007 Vol.
$38,007 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$19,567 Vol.
70%
Demokratische Partei
$18,440 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 2nd congressional district underwent redistricting in May 2026 following a Supreme Court ruling, producing a significantly more Republican-leaning map that excludes much of the incumbent Democrat's prior base in Mobile and shifts the partisan voting index toward the GOP. Incumbent Shomari Figures (D) faces no primary opposition and has raised substantial funds, while six Republicans compete in the August 11 primary, with Rhett Marques leading recent polling. Cook Political Report rates the seat Likely Republican, reflecting the altered district lines and the broader national environment heading into the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 70% for Republicans and 29.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural changes, though the outcome remains sensitive to primary results, turnout patterns, and any late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volumen
$38,007Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 2nd congressional district underwent redistricting in May 2026 following a Supreme Court ruling, producing a significantly more Republican-leaning map that excludes much of the incumbent Democrat's prior base in Mobile and shifts the partisan voting index toward the GOP. Incumbent Shomari Figures (D) faces no primary opposition and has raised substantial funds, while six Republicans compete in the August 11 primary, with Rhett Marques leading recent polling. Cook Political Report rates the seat Likely Republican, reflecting the altered district lines and the broader national environment heading into the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 70% for Republicans and 29.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural changes, though the outcome remains sensitive to primary results, turnout patterns, and any late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$38,007Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's 2nd congressional district underwent redistricting in May 2026 following a Supreme Court ruling, producing a significantly more Republican-leaning map that excludes much of the incumbent Democrat's prior base in Mobile and shifts the partisan voting index toward the GOP. Incumbent Shomari Figures (D) faces no primary opposition and has raised substantial funds, while six Republicans compete in the August 11 primary, with Rhett Marques leading recent polling. Cook Political Report rates the seat Likely Republican, reflecting the altered district lines and the broader national environment heading into the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 70% for Republicans and 29.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural changes, though the outcome remains sensitive to primary results, turnout patterns, and any late-cycle developments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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