Alabama's 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+27 and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Republican across major forecasters. The seat opened after incumbent Barry Moore launched a U.S. Senate bid, prompting a crowded Republican primary scheduled for August 11, 2026, following Supreme Court-approved redistricting that further advantaged GOP candidates. Democratic opposition remains limited with minimal primary activity, and historical results show Republican nominees routinely securing large general-election margins in this southwest Alabama district encompassing Mobile and rural conservative areas. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican nominee accounts for these structural factors, while a narrow path for Democratic competitiveness would require an unprecedented shift such as a major Republican primary scandal or national political realignment before November 3, 2026.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAL-01 Wahlsieger
AL-01 Wahlsieger
$37,672 Vol.
$37,672 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
93%
Demokratische Partei
6%
$37,672 Vol.
$37,672 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$18,081 Vol.
93%
Demokratische Partei
$19,590 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+27 and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Republican across major forecasters. The seat opened after incumbent Barry Moore launched a U.S. Senate bid, prompting a crowded Republican primary scheduled for August 11, 2026, following Supreme Court-approved redistricting that further advantaged GOP candidates. Democratic opposition remains limited with minimal primary activity, and historical results show Republican nominees routinely securing large general-election margins in this southwest Alabama district encompassing Mobile and rural conservative areas. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican nominee accounts for these structural factors, while a narrow path for Democratic competitiveness would require an unprecedented shift such as a major Republican primary scandal or national political realignment before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ET
Volumen
$37,672Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+27 and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Republican across major forecasters. The seat opened after incumbent Barry Moore launched a U.S. Senate bid, prompting a crowded Republican primary scheduled for August 11, 2026, following Supreme Court-approved redistricting that further advantaged GOP candidates. Democratic opposition remains limited with minimal primary activity, and historical results show Republican nominees routinely securing large general-election margins in this southwest Alabama district encompassing Mobile and rural conservative areas. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican nominee accounts for these structural factors, while a narrow path for Democratic competitiveness would require an unprecedented shift such as a major Republican primary scandal or national political realignment before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$37,672Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's 1st Congressional District maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+27 and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Republican across major forecasters. The seat opened after incumbent Barry Moore launched a U.S. Senate bid, prompting a crowded Republican primary scheduled for August 11, 2026, following Supreme Court-approved redistricting that further advantaged GOP candidates. Democratic opposition remains limited with minimal primary activity, and historical results show Republican nominees routinely securing large general-election margins in this southwest Alabama district encompassing Mobile and rural conservative areas. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican nominee accounts for these structural factors, while a narrow path for Democratic competitiveness would require an unprecedented shift such as a major Republican primary scandal or national political realignment before November 3, 2026.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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