Michael Alfonso secured the Republican nomination in Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District after winning the August 11 primary with nearly 49 percent of the vote, backed by a Trump endorsement and ties to former Representative Sean Duffy. The open seat, vacated by Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid, sits in a solidly Republican district rated R+11 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index, with consistent historical support for GOP candidates. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election as safe or solid Republican. Democratic nominee Fred Clark advanced from a competitive primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter base. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as candidate scandals, turnout shifts in rural areas, or broader national swings could narrow the margin before the November 3 election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWI-07 Wahlsieger
WI-07 Wahlsieger
$42,190 Vol.
$42,190 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
95%
Demokratische Partei
5%
$42,190 Vol.
$42,190 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$21,469 Vol.
95%
Demokratische Partei
$20,721 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michael Alfonso secured the Republican nomination in Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District after winning the August 11 primary with nearly 49 percent of the vote, backed by a Trump endorsement and ties to former Representative Sean Duffy. The open seat, vacated by Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid, sits in a solidly Republican district rated R+11 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index, with consistent historical support for GOP candidates. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election as safe or solid Republican. Democratic nominee Fred Clark advanced from a competitive primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter base. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as candidate scandals, turnout shifts in rural areas, or broader national swings could narrow the margin before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$42,190Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michael Alfonso secured the Republican nomination in Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District after winning the August 11 primary with nearly 49 percent of the vote, backed by a Trump endorsement and ties to former Representative Sean Duffy. The open seat, vacated by Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid, sits in a solidly Republican district rated R+11 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index, with consistent historical support for GOP candidates. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election as safe or solid Republican. Democratic nominee Fred Clark advanced from a competitive primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter base. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as candidate scandals, turnout shifts in rural areas, or broader national swings could narrow the margin before the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$42,190Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Michael Alfonso secured the Republican nomination in Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District after winning the August 11 primary with nearly 49 percent of the vote, backed by a Trump endorsement and ties to former Representative Sean Duffy. The open seat, vacated by Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid, sits in a solidly Republican district rated R+11 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index, with consistent historical support for GOP candidates. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election as safe or solid Republican. Democratic nominee Fred Clark advanced from a competitive primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter base. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as candidate scandals, turnout shifts in rural areas, or broader national swings could narrow the margin before the November 3 election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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