Incumbent Republican Tony Wied, who won the seat in 2024 with 57 percent, advanced unopposed in the August 2026 primary and holds a commanding position in Wisconsin’s 8th congressional district. The R+8 Partisan Voter Index, consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe” ratings from forecasters, and absence of a Democratic victory since 2008 underpin trader consensus reflected in the 92 percent Republican price. Democrat Rick Crosson emerged from a fragmented primary but faces structural headwinds in a district covering Green Bay and Appleton. Late national shifts, turnout surprises in battleground areas, or unexpected campaign developments could narrow the margin, though the district’s voting patterns and Wied’s incumbency create significant barriers to an upset.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWI-08 Wahlsieger
WI-08 Wahlsieger
$21,206 Vol.
$21,206 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
92%
Demokratische Partei
9%
$21,206 Vol.
$21,206 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$14,017 Vol.
92%
Demokratische Partei
$7,189 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tony Wied, who won the seat in 2024 with 57 percent, advanced unopposed in the August 2026 primary and holds a commanding position in Wisconsin’s 8th congressional district. The R+8 Partisan Voter Index, consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe” ratings from forecasters, and absence of a Democratic victory since 2008 underpin trader consensus reflected in the 92 percent Republican price. Democrat Rick Crosson emerged from a fragmented primary but faces structural headwinds in a district covering Green Bay and Appleton. Late national shifts, turnout surprises in battleground areas, or unexpected campaign developments could narrow the margin, though the district’s voting patterns and Wied’s incumbency create significant barriers to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$21,206Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tony Wied, who won the seat in 2024 with 57 percent, advanced unopposed in the August 2026 primary and holds a commanding position in Wisconsin’s 8th congressional district. The R+8 Partisan Voter Index, consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe” ratings from forecasters, and absence of a Democratic victory since 2008 underpin trader consensus reflected in the 92 percent Republican price. Democrat Rick Crosson emerged from a fragmented primary but faces structural headwinds in a district covering Green Bay and Appleton. Late national shifts, turnout surprises in battleground areas, or unexpected campaign developments could narrow the margin, though the district’s voting patterns and Wied’s incumbency create significant barriers to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$21,206Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETAbwickler
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tony Wied, who won the seat in 2024 with 57 percent, advanced unopposed in the August 2026 primary and holds a commanding position in Wisconsin’s 8th congressional district. The R+8 Partisan Voter Index, consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe” ratings from forecasters, and absence of a Democratic victory since 2008 underpin trader consensus reflected in the 92 percent Republican price. Democrat Rick Crosson emerged from a fragmented primary but faces structural headwinds in a district covering Green Bay and Appleton. Late national shifts, turnout surprises in battleground areas, or unexpected campaign developments could narrow the margin, though the district’s voting patterns and Wied’s incumbency create significant barriers to an upset.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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