Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's consistent performance, which has shaped trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the 2026 election. Long-serving Representative Bobby Scott faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the August 4 nominating contest and encounters limited Republican recruitment for the November general election, consistent with nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic. Scott secured roughly 70 percent of the vote in the prior cycle on the current map. While the outcome remains subject to change from unforeseen developments such as health events, scandals, or shifts in redistricting litigation, the district's partisan composition and institutional factors currently anchor the elevated probability for the Democratic nominee.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVA-03 Wahlsieger
VA-03 Wahlsieger
$35,433 Vol.
$35,433 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
94%
Republikanische Partei
7%
$35,433 Vol.
$35,433 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$20,076 Vol.
94%
Republikanische Partei
$15,357 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's consistent performance, which has shaped trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the 2026 election. Long-serving Representative Bobby Scott faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the August 4 nominating contest and encounters limited Republican recruitment for the November general election, consistent with nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic. Scott secured roughly 70 percent of the vote in the prior cycle on the current map. While the outcome remains subject to change from unforeseen developments such as health events, scandals, or shifts in redistricting litigation, the district's partisan composition and institutional factors currently anchor the elevated probability for the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$35,433Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's consistent performance, which has shaped trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the 2026 election. Long-serving Representative Bobby Scott faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the August 4 nominating contest and encounters limited Republican recruitment for the November general election, consistent with nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic. Scott secured roughly 70 percent of the vote in the prior cycle on the current map. While the outcome remains subject to change from unforeseen developments such as health events, scandals, or shifts in redistricting litigation, the district's partisan composition and institutional factors currently anchor the elevated probability for the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$35,433Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's consistent performance, which has shaped trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the 2026 election. Long-serving Representative Bobby Scott faces only a minor primary challenge ahead of the August 4 nominating contest and encounters limited Republican recruitment for the November general election, consistent with nonpartisan ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic. Scott secured roughly 70 percent of the vote in the prior cycle on the current map. While the outcome remains subject to change from unforeseen developments such as health events, scandals, or shifts in redistricting litigation, the district's partisan composition and institutional factors currently anchor the elevated probability for the Democratic nominee.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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