Abdul El-Sayed leads trader consensus in the August 4 Michigan Democratic Senate primary at 71.5% implied probability, reflecting consistent or leading positions in recent polling averages, the United Auto Workers endorsement, and strong appeal among progressive and labor voters focused on healthcare access and economic issues. The open-seat contest following Gary Peters’s retirement features a three-way race where Haley Stevens draws institutional support from Senate Democratic leadership and outside spending, including AIPAC-aligned efforts, yet trails in surveys. Mallory McMorrow and lower-polling candidates such as Andy Levin remain marginal. Late May debates underscored divisions on foreign policy and party direction, while early June advertising has highlighted internal party tensions without altering the frontrunner dynamic ahead of the primary.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAbdul El-Sayed 72%
Haley Stevens 23.9%
Mallory McMorrow 6%
Andy Levin 1.9%
$646,498 Vol.
$646,498 Vol.
Abdul El-Sayed
72%
Haley Stevens
19%
Mallory McMorrow
6%
Andy Levin
2%
Dana Nessel
<1%
Sarah Anthony
<1%
Matt Sahr
<1%
Rashida Tlaib
<1%
Kristen McDonald Rivet
<1%
Abdul El-Sayed 72%
Haley Stevens 23.9%
Mallory McMorrow 6%
Andy Levin 1.9%
$646,498 Vol.
$646,498 Vol.
Abdul El-Sayed
72%
Haley Stevens
19%
Mallory McMorrow
6%
Andy Levin
2%
Dana Nessel
<1%
Sarah Anthony
<1%
Matt Sahr
<1%
Rashida Tlaib
<1%
Kristen McDonald Rivet
<1%
If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2025, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Abdul El-Sayed leads trader consensus in the August 4 Michigan Democratic Senate primary at 71.5% implied probability, reflecting consistent or leading positions in recent polling averages, the United Auto Workers endorsement, and strong appeal among progressive and labor voters focused on healthcare access and economic issues. The open-seat contest following Gary Peters’s retirement features a three-way race where Haley Stevens draws institutional support from Senate Democratic leadership and outside spending, including AIPAC-aligned efforts, yet trails in surveys. Mallory McMorrow and lower-polling candidates such as Andy Levin remain marginal. Late May debates underscored divisions on foreign policy and party direction, while early June advertising has highlighted internal party tensions without altering the frontrunner dynamic ahead of the primary.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen