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icon for Gewinner der Parlamentswahlen in Quebec
Welt·Weltwahlen

Gewinner der Parlamentswahlen in Quebec

icon for Gewinner der Parlamentswahlen in Quebec
Welt·Weltwahlen

Gewinner der Parlamentswahlen in Quebec

PQ 74%

CAQ 25%

PLQ 2.4%

PCQ <1%

Polymarket

$893,825 Vol.

PQ 74%

CAQ 25%

PLQ 2.4%

PCQ <1%

Polymarket

$893,825 Vol.

icon for PQ

PQ

$121,250 Vol.

74%

icon for CAQ

CAQ

$137,452 Vol.

25%

icon for PLQ

PLQ

$123,953 Vol.

2%

icon for PCQ

PCQ

$247,124 Vol.

<1%

icon for PVQ

PVQ

$157,522 Vol.

<1%

icon for QS

QS

$106,523 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling ahead of Quebec’s October 5 general election shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow but consistent lead in popular vote and seat projections, translating into a high implied probability of securing the most seats. The Coalition Avenir Québec has narrowed the gap in recent weeks through gains among francophone voters and perceived strength on the economy and U.S. trade issues under new leader Christine Fréchette, yet remains behind. Voter desire for change exceeds 60 percent, while the PQ benefits from francophone support and by-election momentum despite limited enthusiasm for a near-term sovereignty referendum. The Liberals trail in third, with smaller parties fragmenting the vote and raising prospects of a minority outcome.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.

If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volumen
$893,825
Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling ahead of Quebec’s October 5 general election shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow but consistent lead in popular vote and seat projections, translating into a high implied probability of securing the most seats. The Coalition Avenir Québec has narrowed the gap in recent weeks through gains among francophone voters and perceived strength on the economy and U.S. trade issues under new leader Christine Fréchette, yet remains behind. Voter desire for change exceeds 60 percent, while the PQ benefits from francophone support and by-election momentum despite limited enthusiasm for a near-term sovereignty referendum. The Liberals trail in third, with smaller parties fragmenting the vote and raising prospects of a minority outcome.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.

If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volumen
$893,825
Enddatum
5. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...

Verwandte

icon for Wird die CAQ bei der Parlamentswahl in Quebec den zweiten Platz belegen?

Wird die CAQ bei der Parlamentswahl in Quebec den zweiten Platz belegen?

48%
Ja
icon for Wird die PLQ bei der Québec-Generalwahl den dritten Platz belegen?

Wird die PLQ bei der Québec-Generalwahl den dritten Platz belegen?

70%
Ja
icon for Wird die PQ bei dieser Wahl weniger als 50 Sitze in der Nationalversammlung von Quebec gewinnen?

Wird die PQ bei dieser Wahl weniger als 50 Sitze in der Nationalversammlung von Quebec gewinnen?

70%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Gewinner der Parlamentswahlen in Quebec" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 6 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „PQ" mit 74%, gefolgt von „CAQ" mit 25%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 74¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 74% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Gewinner der Parlamentswahlen in Quebec" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $893.8K generiert, seit der Markt am Dec 2, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Gewinner der Parlamentswahlen in Quebec" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 6 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Gewinner der Parlamentswahlen in Quebec" ist „PQ" mit 74%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 74% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „CAQ" mit 25%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Gewinner der Parlamentswahlen in Quebec" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.