Ken Sim holds the lead in trader pricing for the October 2026 Vancouver mayoral contest due to his incumbency as ABC Vancouver mayor and consistent polling edges of roughly 30 percent among decided voters in early August surveys, even amid low net favorability. Pete Fry of the Green Party benefits from the highest personal ratings and strong second-place positioning in a fragmented field that includes Vancouver Liberals candidate Kareem Allam, with housing costs and municipal governance emerging as central voter concerns. The crowded ballot of declared contenders, including OneCity's William Azaroff and TEAM's Colleen Hardwick, plus more than one-quarter undecided voters, sustains uncertainty reflected in current market shares. Upcoming campaign events and further polling could shift probabilities before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertKen Sim 40%
Pete Fry 28.0%
Kareem Allam 13%
William Azaroff 5.3%
$175,656 Vol.
$175,656 Vol.

Ken Sim
40%

Pete Fry
28%

Kareem Allam
13%

William Azaroff
5%

Colleen Hardwick
3%

John Coupar
1%

Sean Orr
1%

Amanda Burrows
1%

Kirk LaPointe
1%

Rebecca Bligh
1%

Stephanie Allen
1%

Fred Harding
<1%

Tim Louis
<1%
Ken Sim 40%
Pete Fry 28.0%
Kareem Allam 13%
William Azaroff 5.3%
$175,656 Vol.
$175,656 Vol.

Ken Sim
40%

Pete Fry
28%

Kareem Allam
13%

William Azaroff
5%

Colleen Hardwick
3%

John Coupar
1%

Sean Orr
1%

Amanda Burrows
1%

Kirk LaPointe
1%

Rebecca Bligh
1%

Stephanie Allen
1%

Fred Harding
<1%

Tim Louis
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ken Sim holds the lead in trader pricing for the October 2026 Vancouver mayoral contest due to his incumbency as ABC Vancouver mayor and consistent polling edges of roughly 30 percent among decided voters in early August surveys, even amid low net favorability. Pete Fry of the Green Party benefits from the highest personal ratings and strong second-place positioning in a fragmented field that includes Vancouver Liberals candidate Kareem Allam, with housing costs and municipal governance emerging as central voter concerns. The crowded ballot of declared contenders, including OneCity's William Azaroff and TEAM's Colleen Hardwick, plus more than one-quarter undecided voters, sustains uncertainty reflected in current market shares. Upcoming campaign events and further polling could shift probabilities before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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