Trader consensus favors Democrats at 59% implied probability in Ohio's competitive U.S. Senate special election, reflecting Sherrod Brown's dominant first-quarter 2026 fundraising—over $10 million raised versus Jon Husted's lower totals—fueling his $343,000 linear TV ad buy launched April 30. Recent April polls, including BGSU/YouGov (Husted 50%, Brown 47%) and Echelon Insights (Husted 51%, Brown 45%), show a tight race despite Husted's incumbency after appointment to replace JD Vance. With May 5 primaries imminent, Brown's financial edge and name recognition from his prior Senate tenure position Democrats strongly in this battleground swing state contest resolving November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$72,390 Vol.
$72,390 Vol.

Demokrat
59%

Republikaner
41%
$72,390 Vol.
$72,390 Vol.

Demokrat
59%

Republikaner
41%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Democrats at 59% implied probability in Ohio's competitive U.S. Senate special election, reflecting Sherrod Brown's dominant first-quarter 2026 fundraising—over $10 million raised versus Jon Husted's lower totals—fueling his $343,000 linear TV ad buy launched April 30. Recent April polls, including BGSU/YouGov (Husted 50%, Brown 47%) and Echelon Insights (Husted 51%, Brown 45%), show a tight race despite Husted's incumbency after appointment to replace JD Vance. With May 5 primaries imminent, Brown's financial edge and name recognition from his prior Senate tenure position Democrats strongly in this battleground swing state contest resolving November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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