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icon for Gewinner der Senatswahl in Michigan
Politik·US-Wahl

Gewinner der Senatswahl in Michigan

icon for Gewinner der Senatswahl in Michigan
Politik·US-Wahl

Gewinner der Senatswahl in Michigan

Polymarket

$677,980 Vol.

Polymarket

$677,980 Vol.

icon for Abdul El-Sayed (D)

Abdul El-Sayed (D)

$371,063 Vol.

66%

icon for Mike Rogers (R)

Mike Rogers (R)

$306,917 Vol.

36%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s August 4 primary by narrowly defeating Rep. Haley Stevens 48.5% to 47.6% in a high-spending contest marked by significant outside involvement, including from pro-Israel groups. He now faces former Rep. Mike Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and 2024 Senate candidate, in the November 3 general election for the open seat vacated by Sen. Gary Peters. Recent polls show a tight race, with aggregates giving El-Sayed a modest edge around 46-47% to Rogers’ 43-45% and most forecasters rating the contest a toss-up or slight Democratic lean. El-Sayed’s progressive profile and strength among younger and college-educated voters contrast with Rogers’ experience and appeal to independents and non-college voters in a state Trump carried in 2024, keeping the outcome highly competitive.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$677,980
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s August 4 primary by narrowly defeating Rep. Haley Stevens 48.5% to 47.6% in a high-spending contest marked by significant outside involvement, including from pro-Israel groups. He now faces former Rep. Mike Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and 2024 Senate candidate, in the November 3 general election for the open seat vacated by Sen. Gary Peters. Recent polls show a tight race, with aggregates giving El-Sayed a modest edge around 46-47% to Rogers’ 43-45% and most forecasters rating the contest a toss-up or slight Democratic lean. El-Sayed’s progressive profile and strength among younger and college-educated voters contrast with Rogers’ experience and appeal to independents and non-college voters in a state Trump carried in 2024, keeping the outcome highly competitive.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$677,980
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Gewinner der Senatswahl in Michigan" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Abdul El-Sayed (D)" mit 66%, gefolgt von „Mike Rogers (R)" mit 36%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 66¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 66% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Gewinner der Senatswahl in Michigan" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $678K generiert, seit der Markt am Oct 13, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Gewinner der Senatswahl in Michigan" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 2 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Gewinner der Senatswahl in Michigan" ist „Abdul El-Sayed (D)" mit 66%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 66% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Mike Rogers (R)" mit 36%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Gewinner der Senatswahl in Michigan" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.