Recent polling from UMass Lowell, University of New Hampshire, and Pan Atlantic Research shows Democratic primary frontrunner Graham Platner leading incumbent Republican Susan Collins by narrow margins of 5-9 points in general-election matchups among likely voters. The June 9 Democratic primary, conducted via ranked-choice voting, has consolidated support behind Platner after Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign. Collins faces no significant primary opposition on the Republican side. These trends, in a race rated toss-up or tilt Republican by major forecasters, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 61% Democrat and 38% Republican prices.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$433,757 Vol.
$433,757 Vol.

Demokrat
61%

Republikaner
38%
$433,757 Vol.
$433,757 Vol.

Demokrat
61%

Republikaner
38%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from UMass Lowell, University of New Hampshire, and Pan Atlantic Research shows Democratic primary frontrunner Graham Platner leading incumbent Republican Susan Collins by narrow margins of 5-9 points in general-election matchups among likely voters. The June 9 Democratic primary, conducted via ranked-choice voting, has consolidated support behind Platner after Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign. Collins faces no significant primary opposition on the Republican side. These trends, in a race rated toss-up or tilt Republican by major forecasters, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 61% Democrat and 38% Republican prices.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen