New Hampshire's open U.S. Senate seat, following Democratic incumbent Jeanne Shaheen's retirement, features a Democratic primary frontrunner in Representative Chris Pappas, who leads challenger Karishma Manzur by double digits in recent University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm polls ahead of the September 8 vote. On the Republican side, former Senator John Sununu holds a commanding primary lead over Scott Brown. General election matchups show Pappas holding narrow edges or statistical ties with Sununu in August surveys, while widening advantages appear against Brown. New Hampshire's recent federal voting patterns and the absence of a Republican Senate win since 2010 underpin trader assessments of a Democratic victory as the consensus outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$93,279 Vol.
$93,279 Vol.

Demokrat
83%

Republikaner
18%
$93,279 Vol.
$93,279 Vol.

Demokrat
83%

Republikaner
18%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...New Hampshire's open U.S. Senate seat, following Democratic incumbent Jeanne Shaheen's retirement, features a Democratic primary frontrunner in Representative Chris Pappas, who leads challenger Karishma Manzur by double digits in recent University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm polls ahead of the September 8 vote. On the Republican side, former Senator John Sununu holds a commanding primary lead over Scott Brown. General election matchups show Pappas holding narrow edges or statistical ties with Sununu in August surveys, while widening advantages appear against Brown. New Hampshire's recent federal voting patterns and the absence of a Republican Senate win since 2010 underpin trader assessments of a Democratic victory as the consensus outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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