Redistricting last year shifted Missouri’s 5th Congressional District from a Democratic stronghold to an R+9 rating by incorporating additional rural and conservative counties while retaining parts of urban Kansas City. This change positioned Republican nominee Rick Brattin, a state senator who won the August 4 primary, as the clear frontrunner against longtime Democratic incumbent Emanuel Cleaver. Cleaver advanced unopposed in his primary but now faces a structurally Republican-leaning electorate that aligns with recent statewide voting patterns. Trader consensus at 83.5% Republican reflects the map’s impact and limited Democratic path to victory, while the 16% Democratic share accounts for Cleaver’s name recognition and any residual urban turnout advantages before the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertMO-05 Wahlsieger
MO-05 Wahlsieger
$10,750 Vol.
$10,750 Vol.
4. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
84%
Demokratische Partei
16%
$10,750 Vol.
$10,750 Vol.
4. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$8,060 Vol.
84%
Demokratische Partei
$2,690 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting last year shifted Missouri’s 5th Congressional District from a Democratic stronghold to an R+9 rating by incorporating additional rural and conservative counties while retaining parts of urban Kansas City. This change positioned Republican nominee Rick Brattin, a state senator who won the August 4 primary, as the clear frontrunner against longtime Democratic incumbent Emanuel Cleaver. Cleaver advanced unopposed in his primary but now faces a structurally Republican-leaning electorate that aligns with recent statewide voting patterns. Trader consensus at 83.5% Republican reflects the map’s impact and limited Democratic path to victory, while the 16% Democratic share accounts for Cleaver’s name recognition and any residual urban turnout advantages before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Volumen
$10,750Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting last year shifted Missouri’s 5th Congressional District from a Democratic stronghold to an R+9 rating by incorporating additional rural and conservative counties while retaining parts of urban Kansas City. This change positioned Republican nominee Rick Brattin, a state senator who won the August 4 primary, as the clear frontrunner against longtime Democratic incumbent Emanuel Cleaver. Cleaver advanced unopposed in his primary but now faces a structurally Republican-leaning electorate that aligns with recent statewide voting patterns. Trader consensus at 83.5% Republican reflects the map’s impact and limited Democratic path to victory, while the 16% Democratic share accounts for Cleaver’s name recognition and any residual urban turnout advantages before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$10,750Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting last year shifted Missouri’s 5th Congressional District from a Democratic stronghold to an R+9 rating by incorporating additional rural and conservative counties while retaining parts of urban Kansas City. This change positioned Republican nominee Rick Brattin, a state senator who won the August 4 primary, as the clear frontrunner against longtime Democratic incumbent Emanuel Cleaver. Cleaver advanced unopposed in his primary but now faces a structurally Republican-leaning electorate that aligns with recent statewide voting patterns. Trader consensus at 83.5% Republican reflects the map’s impact and limited Democratic path to victory, while the 16% Democratic share accounts for Cleaver’s name recognition and any residual urban turnout advantages before the November 3 general election.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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