Luke Bronin holds the lead in trader consensus for the CT-01 Democratic primary following his upset victory over 14-term incumbent John Larson at the May 2026 party convention, where Bronin secured the endorsement on the second ballot by a narrow margin after delegate shifts. This outcome, described as unprecedented in recent Connecticut history, boosted Bronin's positioning amid a four-way primary scheduled for August 11. A post-convention poll showed Bronin ahead, while fundraising reports indicate stronger cash reserves for the former Hartford mayor. Larson continues as a competitive challenger with established support, though the endorsement loss narrowed his path. Minor candidates Ruth Fortune, Jillian Gilchrest, and Mark Stewart Greenstein trail significantly, reflecting limited delegate and early polling strength ahead of the vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertLuke Bronin 58%
John Larson 40%
Ruth Fortune 3.0%
Jillian Gilchrest 1.9%
$10,669 Vol.
$10,669 Vol.
Luke Bronin
58%
John Larson
40%
Ruth Fortune
3%
Jillian Gilchrest
2%
Mark Stewart Greenstein
<1%
Luke Bronin 58%
John Larson 40%
Ruth Fortune 3.0%
Jillian Gilchrest 1.9%
$10,669 Vol.
$10,669 Vol.
Luke Bronin
58%
John Larson
40%
Ruth Fortune
3%
Jillian Gilchrest
2%
Mark Stewart Greenstein
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 26, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Luke Bronin holds the lead in trader consensus for the CT-01 Democratic primary following his upset victory over 14-term incumbent John Larson at the May 2026 party convention, where Bronin secured the endorsement on the second ballot by a narrow margin after delegate shifts. This outcome, described as unprecedented in recent Connecticut history, boosted Bronin's positioning amid a four-way primary scheduled for August 11. A post-convention poll showed Bronin ahead, while fundraising reports indicate stronger cash reserves for the former Hartford mayor. Larson continues as a competitive challenger with established support, though the endorsement loss narrowed his path. Minor candidates Ruth Fortune, Jillian Gilchrest, and Mark Stewart Greenstein trail significantly, reflecting limited delegate and early polling strength ahead of the vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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